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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Spencer suggests Scorpio will cost not more than $600 USD

Guitarguy said:
DannyDesario said:

Tell that to the Xbox enthusiasts (not the level-headed fans) that are saying the system is 10Teraflops (we know nVidia and AMD TFs aren't the same in the first place, lol).  I hope the system is as good as it can be so Sony doesn't get lazy, but I don't want people to get ahead of themselves.


Totally agree. I think we saw Sony get a bit comfortable with the Slim not having any upgrades(except for the stronger Wifi but if you are a serious gamer you would try use ethernet anyway) and taking away the optical port while Microsoft added a UHD blu ray drive and kept all its ports intact except for the native Kinect port. No UHD drive in the Pro still boggles my mind though, I thought Sony would have been all over it but they can make some strange decisions when they are winning like having only 2 controller ports in the PS2 lol.

The PS2 killed it cause of the DVD drive though, even though the Xbox came shortly after, the damage was done taking into account how PS2 streamlined DVDs in Japan and had a great lineup for the holidays that year in North America.  Omitting the UHD BD drive was weird too, but I guess they don't wanna take chances seeing as most of their profit is from the PS brand OVER their film studios (Ghostbusters 3, lol) , meaning they're in an awful place.



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Intrinsic said:
I think this is just preemptive strategy on MS part. They have planted the seeds of $600 in everyones heads now so when they come in at $499 some would say it's cheap.

I think they will come in at $499, no chance they will be at $399 if they are going to have all the stuff over they PS4 thats rumored. Unless they choose to sell it at a loss. Which I strongly doubt MS will do.

Depends on whether it's a vanilla GPU boost or they build the thing from scratch... 



$799, lol.



DannyDesario said:
Guitarguy said:


Totally agree. I think we saw Sony get a bit comfortable with the Slim not having any upgrades(except for the stronger Wifi but if you are a serious gamer you would try use ethernet anyway) and taking away the optical port while Microsoft added a UHD blu ray drive and kept all its ports intact except for the native Kinect port. No UHD drive in the Pro still boggles my mind though, I thought Sony would have been all over it but they can make some strange decisions when they are winning like having only 2 controller ports in the PS2 lol.

The PS2 killed it cause of the DVD drive though, even though the Xbox came shortly after, the damage was done taking into account how PS2 streamlined DVDs in Japan and had a great lineup for the holidays that year in North America.  Omitting the UHD BD drive was weird too, but I guess they don't wanna take chances seeing as most of their profit is from the PS brand OVER their film studios (Ghostbusters 3, lol) , meaning they're in an awful place.

Oh definitely, the timing for the DVD drive was perfect. Was perplexed about the 2 controller ports though but ultimately it did not matter as the PS2 sold 150 million units lol. The lineup of exclusive games was amazing. I think we got FFX, MGS2, DMC, GT3, Jak & Daxter, ICO, GTA III and Silent Hill 2. 3 of those were first party and in the fall of 2001.



CosmicSex said:
Peh said:

Eh, if they want to play xbox games and don't bother with visuals, they will go for the cheaper model. Enthusiasts however are willing to pay more for their hobby if the upgrade is worth it. 

Your argument just doesn't follow. Maybe it's because you have none.

Also, it's not just my logic, it's common sense. Better hardware and better graphics equals a higher price.

Your argument precludes the that Xbox is the only option.  Like, if Microsoft's Scorpio is too expensive a gamers only option is Xbox One?

Uhm,...context? I am mainly talking about the xbox brand. Not about Sony or PC. And that's what this thread is about. Maybe read the OP first?



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If it starts out at $600, i predict it'll be on sale within the first 3 months.



Fei-Hung said:
 Halo 5 which is just about full HD takes up 55gb. If Scorpio will do native 4K I can imagine it taking up 90+gb.

1) Halo 5 is closer to 100Gb now. (It is 87.3Gb on my console, but I haven't updated it since February, so gigabytes in Que.)

2) Resolution that a game is rendered at has very little to do with install size, back in 1995/1996 you could be gaming at 1080P on the PC and games were smaller than a CD, let alone DVD or Blu-Ray.

JRPGfan said:

Phil Spencer says "It will not cost more than 600$."

Lynksseus says "sweet, 299$ scorpio 500gb model!"

 

wake up? your dreaming? or not listening to what phil spencer is saying.

This is bound to be 449$-549$. Pick a number in between that and you probably wont be dissapointed.

I don't think the price matters.
It's going to be more expensive than the Xbox One S and it's various configurations, that's a given as it's a higher tier in the stack.

And on a personal level, I couldn't care either way, I'll likely still buy it even if it's $1,000.

nanzano said:

I don't recall back in 2013 ps4 price considered as premium with PS360 being under $199, but the xbo1 was. PS4 Pro is cheap because they avoided a new CPU option which would  have put it to $499. Consoles get cheaper when the production cost of the SAME chipset goes down. Completly new chipset allways means higher price at lauch.

The PS4's Pro CPU wasn't a straight clone of what was in the regular PS4, it needed a respin at the very least just to have it on a new node, the PS4 didn't use a new CPU design/architecture anyway, it used readily available low-end PC hardware.
Sony could have wen't with Puma+ and likely not saw a big difference in costs, they likely stayed with Jaguar for other reasons.

Anyway, the CPU isn't the reason for the costs, both Sony and Microsoft have not taken CPU performance seriously in generations and that is not about to change.

nanzano said:

  Scorpio has a seperate CPU and GPU so the manufacturing process will be more expensive. So If M$ sells the Scorpio at 399 it will be at lost even in 2017, I know they have money in the bank but I don't think they can simply through it away at will, 399 is too risky for a doubtfull market where all exclusive has been moved to PC


Do you have viable legitimate source to backup that claim of seperate CPU and GPU?

As for Costs and Pricing... Microsoft is at the mercy of shareholders, shareholders don't like loosing money... And that sentiment has grown in recent years, so I highly doubt Microsoft will push for a loss-leader.

And I don't see the PC (I am a PC gamer) replacing my consoles, I see them as platforms that augment each other, they don't tend to compete for the same space in the home anyway.

teamsilent13 said:

Yeah, not upgrading anytime soon unless the Scorpio gets exclusives over the Xbox One. I still to this day regret buying this piece of garbage and I miss my 360 and all the games that are not backwards compatable. If the scorpio is just getting the same games at a slightly better resolution I will be making almost the same mistake that I did for this generation. Honestly, I am more likely to just go full PC or quit gaming (I game much less than I used to). Reaching a mid life crisis when it comes to my gaming lol but I guess the X1 did that to a lot of loyal xbox gamers :(

It's a great device. And I am sorry you feel that way, but it seems you have been unhappy since the Xbox 360 days if your posting history is anything to go by, perhaps you should have jumped onto another platform?

shikamaru317 said:

How about we do a cost breakdown:

GPU seems to be an overlocked RX 480, consumers can get one of those for $200 with 4GB of memory right now and by the time Scorpio enters manufacturing next year that will be more like $150 for consumers, and considering MS is buying in bulk and won't be paying AMD for memory (MS gets their memory from SK Hynix I believe), I'm sure the GPU price will be somewhere in the neighborhood of $110-120 for MS. 


Any reliable source for that Radeon RX 480 as being the GPU being used in Scorpio?

shikamaru317 said:

CPU wise Scorpio is either using an overclocked Jaguar (same as PS4 Pro) or one of AMD's new Zen CPU's. Jaguar is super cheap now, seeing as it's 3 years old. Even if MS is using Zen, I'm sure it'll be the bottom end Zen model, so we're probably looking at $100 tops for the CPU, in bulk.

Any reliable source as Jaguar or Zen being the CPU of choice in Scorpio? (Hint: There are other choices.)

shikamaru317 said:
Memory wise, Scorpio seems to have 12 GB of GDDR5X. We're probably looking at about $80-$100 for the memory.

 

Any reliable source for Scorpio using GDDR5X over GDDR5? I'm aware of the rumors for the 12Gb of memory, but that may not happen in the consumer release.

shikamaru317 said:
Edit: Forgot about bluray. Bluray is a bit of a wild card. Will MS keep the 4K UHD player for Scorpio even though it will raise the cost drastically, or will they drop it to better compete against PS4 Pro in price? Even with a 4K bluray player I can't see them selling Scorpio for more than $500, MS saw how slow PS3 sales were at $600 and they know they don't have the market in Europe and Japan that Sony does so Scorpio at $600 would sell even slower. $500 tops, less if they drop the 4K bluray player or are willing to sell at a loss.

Plenty of regular Blu-Ray drives just need a free firmware update for 4k UHD on PC.

The cost is probably smaller/non-existent than you think.

DannyDesario said:

Tell that to the Xbox enthusiasts (not the level-headed fans) that are saying the system is 10Teraflops (we know nVidia and AMD TFs aren't the same in the first place, lol).  I hope the system is as good as it can be so Sony doesn't get lazy, but I don't want people to get ahead of themselves.

AMD's flops aren't the same even between itself.
It's a theoretical number, not a real world, heck might not even be an achievable number and is not representative of the framerates/resolution/graphics that we will see.

10 Teraflops, even for an AMD GPU ain't going to happen not in a cost sensitive device like a console.



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My guess is 500$ and will have BR player. I also expect it to be more bigger, heavier than PS4P



 

DialgaMarine said:
$599 seems the most likely, given the hardware, and if it doesn't receive any rumored upgrades. A native 4K machine really is going to be expensive, but I don't foresee it as being a 9th gen console, so for a premium product, that would make sense.

The RX 480 is priced around $200 - $250 and is just shy of 6 teraflops (about 5.8). So frankly Scorpio is not powerful enough to justify $600.

The RX 480 is also fully capable of doing 4K/30-60 fps with current gen graphics. So if the Scorpio has something at par with that, you will have a machine doing native 4K often.



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shikamaru317 said:

1. That is guessing on my part, based on the 6 teraflop specs. Only other thing it could be is the lowest end Vega chip which is set to replace RX 480 next year in the mid $200 range, but I can't see MS using it, it'll be practically brand new when Scorpio begins manufacturing and therefore probably pretty expensive. Considering they can hit 6 teraflops by overclocking the cheaper RX 480 I'm sure they'll go that route instead. But if they do decide to use the lowest end Vega chip it should mean better performance, RX 480 overclocking gains aren't exactly huge.

Graphics Core Next is extremely modular, it might not be any of them.
AMD builds their GPU's in "Blocks" and Microsoft can choose how many blocks it wants.

And just because you can take a smaller chip and scale up the clocks, doesn't mean it's cheaper than building a larger chip at a lower clock, for one you need more voltages so you can have more workable chips, which means electromigration can become an issue.
There is so much more to fabrication you haven't even bothered to touch upon.

And really, no one has any idea what the chip is or how fast it is.

shikamaru317 said:

2. Guess you're right there, it could use something other than Jaguar or Zen, there are other options. It's rumored that it's not using Zen in fact, and I doubt they'll use Jaguar because there will be CPU bottlenecks if they do (we've already seen some CPU bottlenecks on PS4 Pro and Scorpio is designed to run native 4K unlike PS4 Pro). Some low power Excavator cores such as the type used in Bristol Ridge E APU's would be the perfect middle ground between PS4 Pro's overclocked Jaguar and Zen imo. 8 low power Excavator cores at say 2.6 ghz should offer a significant CPU improvement over the 2.1ghz Jaguar cores in PS4 Pro, while offering up a fairly low TDP.


You are forgetting the successors to Jaguar. Aka. Puma and Puma+
Excavator will not happen, it will drive up the chips die-size far to much.


shikamaru317 said:

3. Just guessing on my part again. I'm fairly sure that you can't hit 320 GB/s on GDDR5, but I could be wrong about that. I was under the impression that Samsung only managed to hit 256 GB/s on GDDR5 by dropping to 20 nm last year and that there haven't been any further GDDR5 improvements since then. If they can manage 320 GB/s on GDDR5 thoug, they should because GDDR5 is cheaper.


Bandwidth in this instance is derived from Memory Clock x Memory Interface / 8 x 2.

You can achieve 320GB/s of bandwidth even with DDR1 Ram, you just need a wider bus which means you use more memory chips.

shikamaru317 said:


4. If they can manage to do 4K bluray with a firmware update on a PC blu-ray drive that would be amazing.. I think they could get some PC blu-ray drives for like $30 since they buy in bulk.


They can and they have on the PC. I have already provided links to the firmware and various whitepapers in another thread. (If you feel like looking through my posting history, go right ahead.)



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