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Forums - Sales Discussion - Calling it now. The PS4 will outsell the Xbone 4:1!!

Going off the most recent chart, 4:1 is closer becoming reality.



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4:1 is a little too much. 3:1 is the best it can do and that is really the BEST it can do. The X1 is doing terrible, but it has to practically stop selling for a 4:1 to happen.



Nice necro bump.



i think 2.7 to 1 at EOL



Jumpin said:

PS4 will probably sell less than PS3 overall. It lacks backwards compatibility and requires that you pay a fee to go online. There isn't really much reason to get it except for slightly better looking games that you have to pay a lot more for. Also Sony is in shambles, selling off billions of dollars in assets just to not go bankrupt, they likely do not have the resources to market nearly as well as Microsoft.

Look at how poorly they handled the Vita despite all the Sony fans being certain the Vita was the next big thing.

Hmph, you never learn, do you? Well, just look at the sales these days for your answer is all i'm gonna say.



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Ps4 120+ million



bubblegamer said:

4:1 is a little too much. 3:1 is the best it can do and that is really the BEST it can do. The X1 is doing terrible, but it has to practically stop selling for a 4:1 to happen.

Depends how much steam PS4 could pick in Japan, but still 4:1 seems too much.



My 8th gen collection

tuscaniman99 said:
Xbox One will win the USA quite handily once price drops. That will be enough to offset PS4 for most of the world. If PS4 sells more it will be by about 10% more.

 

The thing is, HOW handily? Keep in mind, according to VGChartz's most up-to-date numbers, (for what it's worth,) the Xbox 360 outsold the PS3 in the U.S. by a solid 17-17.5 million consoles in the United States, and is continuing to outsell the PS3 in that region by a significant margin. Now, despite that, the PS3's still pulled slightly ahead of the Xbox One in terms of global figures, meaning the markets it was winning in gave them that 17 million boost, and then some. Things going the same as last gen, 80 million for both, requires pretty much the same thing that happened last generation to happen this generation... but circumstances aren't the same.

Europe might actually go even worse for the Xbox One than it went for the Xbox 360; most recent numbers out of Germany (not VGChartz, a source over there,) had the PS3 outselling the Xbox 360 by only 2:1. I say 'only' because the PS4 seems to be outselling the Xbox One by 3:1, and yes, this WAS one of the original launch countries for the Xbox One. In fact, Microsoft had a week lead on Sony in Germany. xP Given many of the countries that the Xbox One will be releasing in come September were countries that the PS3 still won in last generation, even though Sony's console launched last, cost more, had worse multi-platforms, etc, etc, all signs point to the PS4's dominance in those markets being even bigger this year because it doesn't have any of that holding it back, and because it launched first. This means that the numbers from those areas will be stacked even higher in the PS4's favor than it was in the PS3's. In other words, expect their combined sales lead in Europe and Asia to be BIGGER than 17 million (or an equivalent percentage, if total sales end up different than last gen.)

This means, to reach the same global numbers, the Xbox One's dominance in the U.S. over the PS4 has to be even BIGGER than the Xbox 360's was over the PS3. Xbox One needs to win in the U.S. by MORE than the 17 million that the Xbox 360 won by.

But Remember that the Xbox 360 had EVERY advantage in the U.S. Cheaper price, better looking multiplats, easier to develop on, released significantly earlier, and of course wasn't shooting itself in the foot PR wise like Sony was doing with their arrogant presentation of the PS3.

This generation, on all those points, they're either on equal ground, or Sony has the advantage. They're now the same price, multiplats either look better on the PS4 or identical depending on the title, the PS4 has been said to be easier to develop on, they released at roughly the same time (I believe Sony had a week lead in the U.S.) and the PR blunders definitely dented the momentum they'd been building with the 360.

Despite all this, Microsoft might be able to turn things around in the U.S., regain the lead... but put quite simply, even if they do take the lead, they're unlikely to dominate with the Xbox One in the U.S. like they did with the Xbox 360. And meanwhile, Sony will probably end up dominating even more in Europe and Asia with the PS4 than they did with the PS3.



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I'd guess 2:1



Danman27 said:
I'd guess 2:1