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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: Halo 4 will sell 7,793,000+ in 2012

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Slimebeast on 05 November 2012

I've said numerous times that Halo is on a decline. I predicted a 91% Meta. I've said the competition from COD is too fierce.

And I've said that Halo 4 has no chance to sell over 10 million copies lifetime. I stand by that.



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man-bear-pig on 05 November 2012
Slimebeast said:
man-bear-pig said:
Slimebeast said:
No chance.

6 million is possible but that's the limit.


Lol...we'll see. Why do you think Halo 4 will follow different sales trends than all other popular FPS's?

After 9 weeks Halo Reach had sold 5.7 million.

Your first week 4.4 million is totally unrealistic (Reach had 3.7 million). After the review meltdowns even people on this site have canceled their plans to buy this game early.


Reach was released in September and it isn't a mainline Halo game; Halo 4 is a mainline halo game, it has rave reviews, it's released in November(just when sales start to get huge). Also, reach's sales can't be compared to halo 4's because they're both released in totally different sales climates. To compare their first 9 weeks with eachother is ridiculous.

Anyway, the numbers in the OP aren't pulled out of thin air, they follow the % changes of other FPS's released at a similar time in previous years.



My prediction threads:

Wii U will sell under 40m units (made on 14th September 2012)

PS Vita will sell under 20m units (made on 30th September 2012)

Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013 - I was right

Halo 4 first 9 weeks sales prediction

PS4 to be down YOY in 2015

man-bear-pig on 05 November 2012
think-man said:
man-bear-pig said:
think-man said:
Im thinking around 6.5 million, I have no stats to back it up but looking at past halos 6.5 million for 9 weeks of sale is amazing and would still be higher than reach. Plus there are alot of halos already on the 360 so even 6.5 in 9 weeks is being generous.


Past Halos were all released in September, so you can't really compare them to Halo 4. November is a completely different sales climate

Thats true but It doesn't play in its favor with COD releasing around the same time.


Battlefield 3 was released around the same time as CoD too and look how well it's done. Anyway, I think people who get CoD on the 360 will also be interested in getting Halo 4 around Christmas time. Besides, this is the first CoD that will sell considerably less than its predecessor.



My prediction threads:

Wii U will sell under 40m units (made on 14th September 2012)

PS Vita will sell under 20m units (made on 30th September 2012)

Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013 - I was right

Halo 4 first 9 weeks sales prediction

PS4 to be down YOY in 2015

Nsanity on 05 November 2012
Slimebeast said:
I've said numerous times that Halo is on a decline. I predicted a 91% Meta. I've said the competition from COD is too fierce.

And I've said that Halo 4 has no chance to sell over 10 million copies lifetime. I stand by that.

Im still waiting for those names of people that cancelled Halo 4.



man-bear-pig on 05 November 2012
Slimebeast said:
I've said numerous times that Halo is on a decline. I predicted a 91% Meta. I've said the competition from COD is too fierce.

And I've said that Halo 4 has no chance to sell over 10 million copies lifetime. I stand by that.


@bolded, that's proof that your predictions don't materialise.



My prediction threads:

Wii U will sell under 40m units (made on 14th September 2012)

PS Vita will sell under 20m units (made on 30th September 2012)

Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013 - I was right

Halo 4 first 9 weeks sales prediction

PS4 to be down YOY in 2015

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Slimebeast on 05 November 2012
man-bear-pig said:
Slimebeast said:
man-bear-pig said:
Slimebeast said:
No chance.

6 million is possible but that's the limit.


Lol...we'll see. Why do you think Halo 4 will follow different sales trends than all other popular FPS's?

After 9 weeks Halo Reach had sold 5.7 million.

Your first week 4.4 million is totally unrealistic (Reach had 3.7 million). After the review meltdowns even people on this site have canceled their plans to buy this game early.


Reach was released in September and it isn't a mainline Halo game; Halo 4 is a mainline halo game, it has rave reviews, it's released in November(just when sales start to get huge). Also, reach's sales can't be compared to halo 4's because they're both released in totally different sales climates. To compare their first 9 weeks with eachother is ridiculous.

Anyway, the numbers in the OP aren't pulled out of thin air, they follow the % changes of other FPS's released at a similar time in previous years.

But at the time people didn't know Reach wasn't a mainline game. It was marketed as a mainline game.

Reviews are worse this time and it goes head-to-head with COD. You will not see first week go over 4 mill.



Slimebeast on 05 November 2012
Nsanity said:
Slimebeast said:
I've said numerous times that Halo is on a decline. I predicted a 91% Meta. I've said the competition from COD is too fierce.

And I've said that Halo 4 has no chance to sell over 10 million copies lifetime. I stand by that.

Im still waiting for those names of people that cancelled Halo 4.

I don't know their names, I just know they exist.



man-bear-pig on 05 November 2012
Slimebeast said:
man-bear-pig said:
Slimebeast said:
man-bear-pig said:
Slimebeast said:
No chance.

6 million is possible but that's the limit.


Lol...we'll see. Why do you think Halo 4 will follow different sales trends than all other popular FPS's?

After 9 weeks Halo Reach had sold 5.7 million.

Your first week 4.4 million is totally unrealistic (Reach had 3.7 million). After the review meltdowns even people on this site have canceled their plans to buy this game early.


Reach was released in September and it isn't a mainline Halo game; Halo 4 is a mainline halo game, it has rave reviews, it's released in November(just when sales start to get huge). Also, reach's sales can't be compared to halo 4's because they're both released in totally different sales climates. To compare their first 9 weeks with eachother is ridiculous.

Anyway, the numbers in the OP aren't pulled out of thin air, they follow the % changes of other FPS's released at a similar time in previous years.

But at the time people didn't know Reach wasn't a mainline game. It was marketed as a mainline game.

Reviews are worse this time and it goes head-to-head with COD. You will not see first week go over 4 mill.


Wanna bet?



My prediction threads:

Wii U will sell under 40m units (made on 14th September 2012)

PS Vita will sell under 20m units (made on 30th September 2012)

Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013 - I was right

Halo 4 first 9 weeks sales prediction

PS4 to be down YOY in 2015

Slimebeast on 05 November 2012
man-bear-pig said:
Slimebeast said:
I've said numerous times that Halo is on a decline. I predicted a 91% Meta. I've said the competition from COD is too fierce.

And I've said that Halo 4 has no chance to sell over 10 million copies lifetime. I stand by that.


@bolded, that's proof that your predictions don't materialise.

Yeah, the real outcome is worse.



Nsanity on 05 November 2012
Slimebeast said:
Nsanity said:
Slimebeast said:
I've said numerous times that Halo is on a decline. I predicted a 91% Meta. I've said the competition from COD is too fierce.

And I've said that Halo 4 has no chance to sell over 10 million copies lifetime. I stand by that.

Im still waiting for those names of people that cancelled Halo 4.

I don't know their names, I just know they exist.

People are not going to let some troll reviewers sway them from buying Halo 4.