Yes.

Why not? When it already sold 12+ million units through the last year at a price not so attractive, both the consoles (PS3 and 360) are pretty much looking to surpass the Wii in a couple of years and  will be selling same numbers(12-15 million) through the year at reduced prices. More chances are PS3 surpassing and 360 inching close behind. And those are to be the deserved sales.

this reminds me of that thread, Parker made where he said 360 would beat PS3 yr. end 2011.

the sad part about parkers situation, is he had little to go on. leo-j, just isn't sound enough for me to believe or care whether it happens or not. at least Parker had me convinced at one point, but leo-j doesn't even have me interested enough to care, not to mention, he hasn't given the one thing i asked for, and the one thing Parker didn't need and that's a timeline, forecasting the sales for each yr. for both Wii, and PS3 comparison until the yr. he thinks it will happen.

no it won't happen, and you haven't convinced anyone it will!! the only things i'll give you is, price point, and Wii's down turn. other then that, i see nothing else you've said as holding water.

Wii 2013 will likely have sold 105m units while PS3 will likely have slowed as will 360 to around 10-13m.

PS3 in 2013 will likely be 85-88m, with 360 being around 82-85
PS3 in 2014 will likely have toped 96-100m Wii likely 108-110
PS3 2015 will be over 103m while Wii hits 112m
and finally PS3's 10 yr. will have PS3 at 110m WW with Wii likely still ahead by 4m

2016 is the 7th gen.'s final yr. ending Sonys 10 yr. plan, with them coming up short by 4m. nope not this gen.

360 will be discontinued in 2014, giving MS a more resources to focus on 720, keeping them competitive.

ditching a thread is spaming in my book leo-j.

Considering you specifically stated that the end of the generation is basically "when all 3 competitors release their next gen console" is a problem. PS3 won't even come close to Wii by then. It really won't. you're talking about PS3 having to practically have it's two best years of sales in history to be able to do that. How can that be possible when sales are slowing and the promise of the new gen is fairly soon?

...It amazes me that people are actually taking this situation seriously...

Even IF Wii doesn't sell another unit from today, neither console will get near it by the time next gen rolls along. The gap is too big.

The Wii has another 15-20mil left in it. The PS3 another 35-40mil, the 360 another 30-35mil. That's LT (so, in Jan 7549 or whenever LT is )

Anyone assuming otherwise is merely anticipating the Wii to crash and burn (i.e. -60% YoY next two years), whilst PS3 will (for some reason) be up massively YoY (e.g. +20% YoY for the next two years). It just.won't.happen.

Man, that's a crazy prediction!!
I just don't think that there is room in the market for a old console as the PS3 to sell so much in 2 years! That would be insane, also considering the fact that those sales would be the higher ones since PS3 launch, and we are at the end of the generation.
I think the PS3 will end up with something more than 85 million, because it hasn't the same library and success as the PS2.

I would like to smoke whatever your taking right now.

Interesting thread. PS3 at $/€199 will shake the gaming industry. Not only in the developped countries but finally the PS3 is getting atractive to developping countries. We all know PS2 was later introduced in the developping countries at a cheaper pricetag and kept on selling. Same will happen with the PS3.

The way I see it will be like:

2012 total sales

PS3: 15 million(pricecut this year)

Wii: 5 million

By January 2013:

PS3: 76-77 million

Wii: 100 million, it will stop selling, I predict 1 million for the entire year of 2013

By January 2014

PS3: 90 million

Wii: 101-102 million

By January 2015

98 milion

Wii: 102 million

By January 2016:

PS3: 103-104 million

Wii: 102 million

PS2 is still selling in some countries. I don't plan to stay on these forums for another decade to find out if that prediction ends up holding true.