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Forums - Sales - Please Mind the Gap... which is now 5M! (HD-Twins ONLY)

Carl2291 said:
Legend11 said:
thismeintiel said:
Legend11 said:
Jordahn said:
Looks like Legend11 got raped in this thread...

(Goes back to playing Donkey Kong on his DS.)


Funny you should say that because it reminds me of many people calling me a troll and claiming I was "owned" in many threads about Wii third-party support.  See back then there were many Nintendo fanboys claiming that all the big third-party franchises by Western developers would move over to the Wii.  I argued with them and tried to explain why that wasn't going to happen and all I got was insults of being a blind fanboy, claims of being a troll, and even many people calling for me to be banned. 

History has proven me right just like it will in this case.  I'm happy that Playstation fanboys are finally having their moment in the Sun and I hope they enjoy the year of great sales because it helps to make up for the many times the PS3 has failed to deliver in sales.  Just like I took grief with those Wii third-party support threads I'll take it here now.  I don't expect anything but more troll labels and grief and in a year's time when I'm proven right I don't expect anyone to tell me I was right (they didn't with the Wii either).


While you may be right about the Wii's support, I do believe you will be wrong about this.  Since when does one game change anything?  It takes a collection of awesome games to win people over.  Besides, everyone knows that Halo is only on 360, but you miss the fact that not everyone cares.  Even out of the ~10 mill who bought Halo 3, I doubt every single one liked it.  Halo Reach will not change anything for 360.  Mostly because if you love Halo, chances are you already have a 360.  So really no HUGE bump in console sales there.

As far as Natal goes, many have already pointed out that even if it is a success, it will be mostly because of current owners buying it.  The market they are aiming for with Natal has already gone to the Wii.  And no one who has a Wii for its casual games are going to drop ~$300-$400 for a new system and camera to play more casual games.  Not only that but if Sony's Wands are a success, again mostly due to current customers buying them, it will have stolen some of the wind out of Natal's sails as it is supposed to launch at a later date.  Not to mention the fact that MS blew out its major hype push for Natal way too early.  It may be able to create some hype right before its release, but nothing like right after E3, with all the news articles and awards being given out.  Again no HUGE bump in consoles.

I don't get why you think it'll be mainly current buyers purchasing Natal.  Do you think the same people that have bought Halo 3 and/or Modern Warfare 2 are going to be buying a Natal system for games like Milo & Kate?  It was very obvious from their respective E3 showings that Microsoft gets it and Sony doesn't.  Microsoft showed how they planned to go after a much wider audience while Sony instead tried to convince core gamers why they should purchase Sony's motion controller.  If anything it's current owners that will buy Sony's Wand (or people that planned on purchasing a PS3 regardless) while Natal will bring in new people.

And since you're asking how does one game change anything, it's amazing how quickly some people forget because it wasn't that long ago that Wii Sports came onto the scene and captured the minds of casuals and core gamers alike.  Natal has games that will capture the imaginations of people while Sony has shown absolutely nothing like that.  In fact Sony's wand seems like a clone of the Wii Remote that brings nothing new to the table.  I mean it's like Sony thinks Resident Evil 4: Wii Edition was a big reason for the Wii's success because otherwise why try to simply go after the core like they did at E3?  Maybe they didn't plan it well but if that's the case and they're launching well before Natal then that says to me that it'll likely be another rush job that will fail.

Red - Give me some names of games please, i would like to know about them...


Milo and Kate is one of them and based on Microsoft's E3 09 Natal video presentation they also want to bring a lot of family/group experiences to the table.  I don't have to list the games because Microsoft has basically hit people over the head with what they want to accomplish.  I'm surprised some people still don't get it no matter how much it's explained to them.



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Legend11 said:
Carl2291 said:
Legend11 said:
thismeintiel said:
Legend11 said:
Jordahn said:
Looks like Legend11 got raped in this thread...

(Goes back to playing Donkey Kong on his DS.)


Funny you should say that because it reminds me of many people calling me a troll and claiming I was "owned" in many threads about Wii third-party support.  See back then there were many Nintendo fanboys claiming that all the big third-party franchises by Western developers would move over to the Wii.  I argued with them and tried to explain why that wasn't going to happen and all I got was insults of being a blind fanboy, claims of being a troll, and even many people calling for me to be banned. 

History has proven me right just like it will in this case.  I'm happy that Playstation fanboys are finally having their moment in the Sun and I hope they enjoy the year of great sales because it helps to make up for the many times the PS3 has failed to deliver in sales.  Just like I took grief with those Wii third-party support threads I'll take it here now.  I don't expect anything but more troll labels and grief and in a year's time when I'm proven right I don't expect anyone to tell me I was right (they didn't with the Wii either).


While you may be right about the Wii's support, I do believe you will be wrong about this.  Since when does one game change anything?  It takes a collection of awesome games to win people over.  Besides, everyone knows that Halo is only on 360, but you miss the fact that not everyone cares.  Even out of the ~10 mill who bought Halo 3, I doubt every single one liked it.  Halo Reach will not change anything for 360.  Mostly because if you love Halo, chances are you already have a 360.  So really no HUGE bump in console sales there.

As far as Natal goes, many have already pointed out that even if it is a success, it will be mostly because of current owners buying it.  The market they are aiming for with Natal has already gone to the Wii.  And no one who has a Wii for its casual games are going to drop ~$300-$400 for a new system and camera to play more casual games.  Not only that but if Sony's Wands are a success, again mostly due to current customers buying them, it will have stolen some of the wind out of Natal's sails as it is supposed to launch at a later date.  Not to mention the fact that MS blew out its major hype push for Natal way too early.  It may be able to create some hype right before its release, but nothing like right after E3, with all the news articles and awards being given out.  Again no HUGE bump in consoles.

I don't get why you think it'll be mainly current buyers purchasing Natal.  Do you think the same people that have bought Halo 3 and/or Modern Warfare 2 are going to be buying a Natal system for games like Milo & Kate?  It was very obvious from their respective E3 showings that Microsoft gets it and Sony doesn't.  Microsoft showed how they planned to go after a much wider audience while Sony instead tried to convince core gamers why they should purchase Sony's motion controller.  If anything it's current owners that will buy Sony's Wand (or people that planned on purchasing a PS3 regardless) while Natal will bring in new people.

And since you're asking how does one game change anything, it's amazing how quickly some people forget because it wasn't that long ago that Wii Sports came onto the scene and captured the minds of casuals and core gamers alike.  Natal has games that will capture the imaginations of people while Sony has shown absolutely nothing like that.  In fact Sony's wand seems like a clone of the Wii Remote that brings nothing new to the table.  I mean it's like Sony thinks Resident Evil 4: Wii Edition was a big reason for the Wii's success because otherwise why try to simply go after the core like they did at E3?  Maybe they didn't plan it well but if that's the case and they're launching well before Natal then that says to me that it'll likely be another rush job that will fail.

Red - Give me some names of games please, i would like to know about them...


Milo and Kate is one of them and based on Microsoft's E3 09 Natal video presentation they also want to bring a lot of family/group experiences to the table.  I don't have to list the games because Microsoft has basically hit people over the head with what they want to accomplish.  I'm surprised some people still don't get it no matter how much it's explained to them.

You might want to update some of your informations:

http://gamer.blorge.com/2009/06/07/exposed-natel-milo-smoke-and-mirrors-by-peter-molyneux/



Legend11 said:
Carl2291 said:
Legend11 said:
thismeintiel said:
Legend11 said:
Jordahn said:
Looks like Legend11 got raped in this thread...

(Goes back to playing Donkey Kong on his DS.)


Funny you should say that because it reminds me of many people calling me a troll and claiming I was "owned" in many threads about Wii third-party support.  See back then there were many Nintendo fanboys claiming that all the big third-party franchises by Western developers would move over to the Wii.  I argued with them and tried to explain why that wasn't going to happen and all I got was insults of being a blind fanboy, claims of being a troll, and even many people calling for me to be banned. 

History has proven me right just like it will in this case.  I'm happy that Playstation fanboys are finally having their moment in the Sun and I hope they enjoy the year of great sales because it helps to make up for the many times the PS3 has failed to deliver in sales.  Just like I took grief with those Wii third-party support threads I'll take it here now.  I don't expect anything but more troll labels and grief and in a year's time when I'm proven right I don't expect anyone to tell me I was right (they didn't with the Wii either).


While you may be right about the Wii's support, I do believe you will be wrong about this.  Since when does one game change anything?  It takes a collection of awesome games to win people over.  Besides, everyone knows that Halo is only on 360, but you miss the fact that not everyone cares.  Even out of the ~10 mill who bought Halo 3, I doubt every single one liked it.  Halo Reach will not change anything for 360.  Mostly because if you love Halo, chances are you already have a 360.  So really no HUGE bump in console sales there.

As far as Natal goes, many have already pointed out that even if it is a success, it will be mostly because of current owners buying it.  The market they are aiming for with Natal has already gone to the Wii.  And no one who has a Wii for its casual games are going to drop ~$300-$400 for a new system and camera to play more casual games.  Not only that but if Sony's Wands are a success, again mostly due to current customers buying them, it will have stolen some of the wind out of Natal's sails as it is supposed to launch at a later date.  Not to mention the fact that MS blew out its major hype push for Natal way too early.  It may be able to create some hype right before its release, but nothing like right after E3, with all the news articles and awards being given out.  Again no HUGE bump in consoles.

I don't get why you think it'll be mainly current buyers purchasing Natal.  Do you think the same people that have bought Halo 3 and/or Modern Warfare 2 are going to be buying a Natal system for games like Milo & Kate?  It was very obvious from their respective E3 showings that Microsoft gets it and Sony doesn't.  Microsoft showed how they planned to go after a much wider audience while Sony instead tried to convince core gamers why they should purchase Sony's motion controller.  If anything it's current owners that will buy Sony's Wand (or people that planned on purchasing a PS3 regardless) while Natal will bring in new people.

And since you're asking how does one game change anything, it's amazing how quickly some people forget because it wasn't that long ago that Wii Sports came onto the scene and captured the minds of casuals and core gamers alike.  Natal has games that will capture the imaginations of people while Sony has shown absolutely nothing like that.  In fact Sony's wand seems like a clone of the Wii Remote that brings nothing new to the table.  I mean it's like Sony thinks Resident Evil 4: Wii Edition was a big reason for the Wii's success because otherwise why try to simply go after the core like they did at E3?  Maybe they didn't plan it well but if that's the case and they're launching well before Natal then that says to me that it'll likely be another rush job that will fail.

Red - Give me some names of games please, i would like to know about them...


Milo and Kate is one of them and based on Microsoft's E3 09 Natal video presentation they also want to bring a lot of family/group experiences to the table.  I don't have to list the games because Microsoft has basically hit people over the head with what they want to accomplish.  I'm surprised some people still don't get it no matter how much it's explained to them.

So in otherwords all these games that will capture the imagination... Aren't even confirmed, don't have a name and we don't even know the genre?

Oh, and just because MS say something doesn't mean it will happen.



                            

Legend11, there is nothing to equate between the Wii 3rd party situation and the PS3's sales. That said, I think Natal is going to be received lukewarm at best. This thing is not just going to fly off shelves.



"Why does everyone ask about Chrono Trigger? (responding to a comment about the title being loved) That's not what the sales tell me! If people want a sequel, they should buy more!" - Square Enix Senior Vice President Shinji Hashimoto

VyseLegend said:
Legend11, there is nothing to equate between the Wii 3rd party situation and the PS3's sales. That said, I think Natal is going to be received lukewarm at best. This thing is not just going to fly off shelves.


To me it's blindingly obvious why the situations are similar.  In both cases there are people that choose to ignore key facts and argue based on what amounts to wishful thinking,  It's like the PSP Go, it was obvious why it was going to fail but every time anyone listed those reasons in a sales discussion you had people ignoring them and simply stating it could go either way.  There is a thing called an educated guess, that is what I'm doing, those arguing against me are simply choosing to ignore the facts.



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@legend11

Lol there is no real connection based on logic. The situations may be similar but there is no logic how you can compare both its just subjective simillar. But has nothing to do with reality. I made maybe 2-3 predictions and people didnt believed me this predictions where more way more speculative then your prediction with not much 3rd party support for Wii. And I was right but its insane to believe I am always right because I had 2 times right.


I believe, you will be wrong my mystic powers of seeing the future are bigger then yours. I was 2 times right and people doubted me massively and you just once, so its obvious who will be right.


This is the same logic you use to make a connection between cases which have nothing to do with each other, use some facts people will listen to you but this is just speculation. Like your 3rd party prediction or my predicitons.


I hope you are still here in 12 months so you have to admit you were wrong. (Ofcourse I am just speculating like you, like everyone on this site)



VyseLegend said:
Legend11, there is nothing to equate between the Wii 3rd party situation and the PS3's sales. That said, I think Natal is going to be received lukewarm at best. This thing is not just going to fly off shelves.

Well said, hes basing all his facts on "IF's" and "Maybe's" that doesn't win anyone over unless there actual support, HOWEVER, i do believe NATAL has more going for it then the Wii-Mote or Gem does. simply because you can do amazing things like talking to people that are not real in games...

Basiclly, its all up in the air right now, and it WILL cost alot of money to make, publish, and so on and so forth.

In Conclusion... as of RIGHT NOW, i think we can all agree on Facts > False Bound Facts... meaning Legend is a tad out of line for such "Out There" assumption's that may OR may not come true, this is not the Wii we are talking about, this is the PS3 it's a whole other ball game here.



@legend11

Actually I don't think a lot of current owners really care about Milo or Kate, which is why Natal is going to have problems. Any success Natal has is going to be based on current owners, which is why they need to have a good price and good games at launch. Like I said, the Wii has won the casual market. And they are not going to pay $200 (for an Arcade, if Natal doesn't need the HDD that is) and most likely ~$100 for a camera, just for casual games.

And as far as Wii Sports goes, it wasn't the game that roped people in, but the fact that it used the Wii's new controllers wisely. Well, that and the fact that it came heavily bundled with the Wii. But do you honestly think that without the Wii's control setup, Wii Sports would have been such a hit? Of course not, it would have just been another sports game.

Also, how can the PS3 Wands be a copy off of the Wii-motes when Sony had something very similar in development for the PS2's EyeToy? I will admit, however, that the success of the Wii has inspired them to actually follow through with the Wands. But, the truth still remains that the Wands are just an improvement of an earlier design. And I wouldn't talk about Sony when it comes to rush jobs. That discussion should be held for another company. "Well here it is, BAM!!"



I've been hearing that the ps3 will outsell the ps3 for years and it still hasn't happened. Wake me up when its like 1 to 2 million away not 5 million. Which is still a big lead.



hahah. bad typo!