Again, you are assuming that they don't have the hardware moving power, yet you have no idea how much hardware NSMB Wii will move, or how much the Vitality sensor will move, you say you look at history, how much did Wii fit and the Balance board move when it first came out?

Also you are assumign that GT5 will have any of the affect that GT3 or GT4 had on PS2, you're dealing with a much smaller base , and much later in its life than with GT3, not to mention its the third place console compared to first place with PS2

What makes you think 2009 won't be the peak year for the PS3? Just as you assume Wii sales will fall in 2010 then why won't PS3 sales too?

*Deep breaths*

Must... Not... Argue...

¬_¬

This is hard you know Khuutra.

Listen

You are stronger for this

It would take all those plus Nintendo not releasing any new software next year and killing off the vitality sensor

week one COD:MW2

Wii hardware  559,315

PS3 hardware 326,920

week one uncharted 2

Wii hardware   396,010

PS3 hardware 268,067

Even with a great game released every week next year ps3 is not gonaa be able to outsell weekly wii. Adding the fact that ps3 price has already been cut a lot is unprobable major price cuts next year. Ps3 has already released slim version and some huge titles come for wii in 2010 so In my opinion is impossible

LOL! Quality games for the new Sony motion sensor. You mean like the party/ casual games announced or the Resi game that will be almost impossible to control?

inu_1607 said: week one COD:MW2 Wii hardware  559,315 PS3 hardware 326,920   week one uncharted 2 Wii hardware   396,010 PS3 hardware 268,067   Even with a great game released every week next year ps3 is not gonaa be able to outsell weekly wii. Adding the fact that ps3 price has already been cut a lot is unprobable major price cuts next year. Ps3 has already released slim version and some huge titles come for wii in 2010 so In my opinion is impossible

wii price cut it's more recent, and nsmb wii was just released also.

it's impossible for the ps3 right now to outsell the wii, let alone lifetime sales.
the only fight that the ps3 can fight right now it's the HD battle, nothing else.

Hah! People keep trying to tout their system's new hardware accessory as a reason it will outsell. Sorry, but all 3 systems are getting one (Natal, PS3 Wand, Vitality sensor), so for simplicity's sake, I'll cancel them all out. I'll be honest in that I'm still surprised at how well Wii Fit (and Plus) are doing, as accessories added after the fact to the system usually have a tendency to fail. Tentatively, I do think they will all initially make waves, but then I see them falling to the wayside within a year. (It's also kinda how I'm seeing WM+.) Then there's games. Again, all 3 systems have a few big name games coming out, so I'll cancel them out again.

So for a yearly trend, I don't see any change to the order of system sales for the year as things stand now. There may be stuff announced in later 2010 that changes this view, but as it is unknown for now, I can't speculate on it. However, this thread is about if the PS3 can overtake the Wii. So let's look at the numbers:

First, let's start in Japan. Hypothetically, I'll say the Wii settles at a 15K weekly average and the PS3 keeps its momentum and has a 40k/week average. A 25K/week margin gives 1.3 million in a year (measured from 52 weeks), and it would take a little over 3.5 years just to close the gap for Japan. Possible in theory, but I don't see this happening.

Both others and the US are insanely tough to predict, as the Wii has been blowing the PS3 out of the water on average lately. But I'll say that something I can't see happening happens, and the PS3 outsells the Wii by 50K/week in each region, or 2.6M in a year. Again, we'd be looking at a little over 3.5 years in others, and a whopping 6 years in the Americas, again, just to catch up!

In these best case scenarios for Sony, 125K/week over the Wii worldwide gives them 6.5M of makeup each year, or about 4.5 years to catch the Wii. I just can not see Sony maintaining this kind of sales rate on the PS3 for such a period of time. Even a rate of 75K/week would increase the time needed to 7.5 years, which going from now, will still exceed Sony's 10 year plan. I'm going to say with a fair deal of confidence that Sony is not surpassing the Wii with the PS3, unless Nintendo does something incredibly stupid.