UPDATE PLEASE READ: This information is vital to know if you are to make an accurate prediction. leo-j, you may want to include this in your original post.

SKUs offered in Japan: 20GB and 60GB
Original prices: ¥49,980 and ¥59,980
Price after cut: ¥44,980 and ¥54,980

Price cut of ¥5,000, which is equivalent to about $43 bucks. So, roughly, a $50 dollar price cut.

I don't know. Japan continues to confuse me with it's tastes.

Selling out the Wii huge possibility till SMG and Wii fit arrives.

well i am not sure of the reduction in price, but i will say about the same as i though in EU before the number came out, which is tripling in sales for one week (30k) followed by a 30-40% drop to double what it was (20k).

wait...
is it just a price cut this week and then the 40G next week?

if that is so then i am not sure anymore, it might not quite triple (25k) followed by another 30k week.

TBH i have no idea *leaves thread*

@leo-j

ok Ps3 didn't get a week on a price drop, but I think the sales in EU should be the same 77K

in JAP however

What are your predictions for the WHITE 40GB with Dynasty Warrior 6 bundle + DS 3 controller

I feel 80K is possible

Well if its anything like what happened in Europe, the the 40gb will completely bomb while 60gb will see the increase in sales.

I think 60k with that bundle and holding ps3 sales around the 50k range until december or so then raising to around 100k and increasing by 50k weekly.

TWRoO, the 40gb comes to Japan on November 11. It is the same day that Dynasty Warriors 5 (titled Shin Sagosku 6 in Japan) comes out. It will be bundled.

Sony slashed the price by 5000 yen. Sales should be above 25k outselling the Wii next week.

Ever see the Samuari Jack episode where Jack learns how to jump by carrying a heavy boulder on his back?

We're about to see how much PS3 can jump now that the boulder (price) has been lifted.

I'm thinking hardware sales will be around 20,000 to 35,000 for PS3 until more important software releases come out.

Whatever happens short term, I'd expect PS3 to be outsold by Wii again in the week Galaxy releases - by at least 2:1 (68k:34k), and more likely 3:1 (87k:29k).  Looking back, if a game like Dragon Quest Swords can boost Wii by ~50%, then a pricedrop for PS3 should do more than that - and at least bring sales of 1.75x to 2.0x the sales rate before the price drop.

I'm leaning toward November average sales of...

Wii ~ 55k

PS3 ~ 25k

Both of which will be based on weekly sales higher at the begginning of the month offsetting the drop in the middle of the month, before game releases push hardware 20-30% above the mid-month weekly-lowpoint.

I actually think the DS/PSP battle this holiday is going to be much more interesting in Japan, especially with DQIX in 2008.

PS3 japan amazon prices

White 40 gig + BR - ￥ 37,981 (Tax Included)

20gig - ￥ 42,731 (Tax Included)
60gig - ￥ 52,231 (Tax Included)

TheSource,

Spiderman 3 comes out this week and will help a little.

But in 2 weeks, we will see a real boost! Imabikisou and Eye of Judgment will come out. Those are two Japan-centric games and should really boost hardware.

Of course, the PS3 will probably have the highest sales of this year during the week of November 11. The Dynasty Warriors comes out, Ratchet comes out, and the white 40gb drops.