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Forums - Sales - Is SONY's 13 Million PS3 Projection looking LIKELY now?

Yeah! NOW! Like in this month or something. Then WHAT? The NOW thing will be different.

Get real guys.




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The drastic measures came about to late in the year for them to meet this projection imo, I don't think they'll make 13 million. Perhaps 10 (11 at the most) but not much more.



atma998 said:
lazyrider said:

@ ATma - I'd put Wii success last holiday on the back of Wii Fit and MK Wii rather than Wii Music and Animal Crossing. Wii Fit + will sell but I don't think it'll move HW as Wii Fit did and NSMBWii is an unknown for me (I absolutely want it but just not sure what it's impact will be on HW, and I am a little concerned by it's late release, September release would have been better to build some good word of mouth for those "casuals").


You also forget about WSR. As for NSMBWii, Nintendo predicted it sales to reach 10M by March 2010.

Ok ok, u could be right (WSR). Though it is selling great, I find HW figures low (whereas Wii Fit and MK Wii came when finding a Wii was still difficult, ie demand was higher the supply). WSR hasn't greatlyu boosted Wii HW is what I am saying.

 

Regarding Nintendo's prediction, that's the point of these discussions as I am doubting what they have predicted for Wii in FY 2010.

What I am getting at is that PS3 made big changes (Slim and 100 USD/EUR price cut) to get a boost and start making the shipment forecast though still difficult at least a discussion. Whereas Nintendo has a very decent lineup but no drastic move (eg a price cut). I am just wondering if it will be enough (and leaning towards believing it won't).



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Black RL said:
Yeah! NOW! Like in this month or something. Then WHAT? The NOW thing will be different.

Get real guys.

 

Hey, that's what everybody thought concerning the Wii as well... But as we could find out the Wii has (had) very long legs although it offers still lots of shovelware besides some outstanding titles. The Wii was created to reach a new market and the Slim is created to reach the new HD market as well.


I have the feeling that it is likely it will hit 13m (in the best case of course) by the end of the fiscal year. Dont underestimate the US market and those awesome ads which try to draft new customers.



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lazyrider said:
atma998 said:
lazyrider said:

@ ATma - I'd put Wii success last holiday on the back of Wii Fit and MK Wii rather than Wii Music and Animal Crossing. Wii Fit + will sell but I don't think it'll move HW as Wii Fit did and NSMBWii is an unknown for me (I absolutely want it but just not sure what it's impact will be on HW, and I am a little concerned by it's late release, September release would have been better to build some good word of mouth for those "casuals").


You also forget about WSR. As for NSMBWii, Nintendo predicted it sales to reach 10M by March 2010.

Ok ok, u could be right (WSR). Though it is selling great, I find HW figures low (whereas Wii Fit and MK Wii came when finding a Wii was still difficult, ie demand was higher the supply). WSR hasn't greatlyu boosted Wii HW is what I am saying.

 

Regarding Nintendo's prediction, that's the point of these discussions as I am doubting what they have predicted for Wii in FY 2010.

What I am getting at is that PS3 made big changes (Slim and 100 USD/EUR price cut) to get a boost and start making the shipment forecast though still difficult at least a discussion. Whereas Nintendo has a very decent lineup but no drastic move (eg a price cut). I am just wondering if it will be enough (and leaning towards believing it won't).


Only time will tell...



Mummelmann said:
The drastic measures came about to late in the year for them to meet this projection imo, I don't think they'll make 13 million. Perhaps 10 (11 at the most) but not much more.

We do not know how much hw the announced games will move and we do not know what Nintendo´s plans for the holiday season are. I think with new colours, Player´s Choice games and some unannounced games they might still meet their projections without a price cut. As for Sony, it is more likely now but still very tough. We will have to wait if they can keep the momentum.



XeNoStRatoS said:
Acevil said:

I just need to ask, when was god of war 3 a system seller? I mean I totally agree the other titles are crazy system sellers but God of War 3, you might as well say Uncharted 2 or MOG.

Also I believe the west release of FF13 will be April, call it a hunch.


Oh you might be wrong with your estimation... GoW III and the upcoming BR Bundle of GoW I & II got a lot of attention during the last days. And everyone knows GoW are killer games which promise hours of fun.

Guess it will be a system seller - GoW 1 sold PS2 2 me... Before this time I sticked to Ninty only - which is over since this generation really started!

I'm not saying god of war 3 isn't big ot not fun, but I don't think it will be a big system seller that people will hope for. 



 

@acevil

no but it gives SONY the opportunity to OVERSHIP PS3's to stores as its a system selling game.....they can convince schools to "Overstock" PS3's

the main thing here is ways in which SONY can overship to make the 13 million

In RAW sold....thats impossible, but with channel stuffing, it looks possible



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

You know that if you do stuff the channel just to meet expectations this year, you are risking next year.

I mean in the end sony can easily spin this and say while it didn't meet expectations it did however beat last year numbers and that the following year will meet expectations.