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Forums - Sales Discussion - The Official July 09 NPD Thread (Data at 6:30 PM for 4 weeks ending Aug 1)

TheSource said:

I'm expecting PS3/360 hardware cuts but since NPD doesn't provide weekly sales, Wii may have boosted alot in the week Wii Sports Resort was out. August will be telling in that regard. I suspect if Wii flatlines or drops in August, then yeah, we get a Wii price cut. No shame in it really, Wii came in Nov 2006 - one price cut in three years is unbelievable historically speaking.

Nintendo won't cut the price even then: they'll wait to see if NSMBWii does the job before they hit the panic button. If THAT game fails,I expect to have Nintendo admit it's completely befuddled as to where to go next, which bodes poorly since it appears that they've been laying long-term plans since the start of this gen, and changing course will be painful. This year's Nintendo release schedule certainly was...

As for Resort's effect, I think it'll manifest in a very slight bump, but one which spreads for the next few months, as people get around to 1) picking it up, and 2) showing it off to their friends. It doesn't seem to have the immediate pop culture cache that Wii Sports did, of course, but I think it can revitalize interest in some and spark it in a few others. Now they just need quality software to maintain whatever momentum they get...

alfredofroylan said:

Remember the inFamous "Ham Sandwich" table that Sony gave some months ago?

 Smooth.



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Whatever impact NSBWii has it probably will be too late to allow them to make up their 26 million units of Wii shipped...
They still have a good shot at coming close to their software target though...

The biggest question this raise is wether Nintendo actually understand what made the success of the Wii and what makes people purchase Wiis...

They were clearly surprised by how successfull the Wii was at release, which is why it took them so long to satisfy demand and now once again they seem to have failed to predict what the Wii sales will be for another year...
So that's 2 out of 3 years where they failed to predict accurately sales and they only did good in 2008 because they had total control on sales due to Wii being out of stock most of the year so they sold whatever amount they produced...

That doesn't mean Nintendo is doomed at all though, they are still doing fairly well and they do a much better on the handheld market at predicting consumer behavior.

But clearly they do not seem to have such a good grasp on what makes consumers purchase consoles...



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

TheSource said:

I'm expecting PS3/360 hardware cuts but since NPD doesn't provide weekly sales, Wii may have boosted alot in the week Wii Sports Resort was out. August will be telling in that regard. I suspect if Wii flatlines or drops in August, then yeah, we get a Wii price cut. No shame in it really, Wii came in Nov 2006 - one price cut in three years is unbelievable historically speaking.


That's not really what VGChartz numbers showed...

The only way this would be true was if Wii sales were much lower than VGChartz the first 3 weeks of July and closer to VGChartz the last week.

That would mean that on a weekly basis the number on this site are actually much more off than the monthly comparison with NPD shows...

 



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

Well it certainly took them long but seems like americans finally noticed they are not getting $250 worth with the Wii and X360 is much better buy at 200$.



PROUD MEMBER OF THE PSP RPG FAN CLUB

Zlejedi said:
Well it certainly took them long but seems like americans finally noticed they are not getting $250 worth with the Wii and X360 is much better buy at 200$.

Yet despite this realization they still bought 50,000 more wii's



 

mM
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leo-j said:
Zlejedi said:
Well it certainly took them long but seems like americans finally noticed they are not getting $250 worth with the Wii and X360 is much better buy at 200$.

Yet despite this realization they still bought 50,000 more wii's

Give it time. Few months ago we would have thought it's impossible for X360 to be selling this close to Wii.



PROUD MEMBER OF THE PSP RPG FAN CLUB

I don't know what to say

Everyones down

the console that got a big price drop (360) is barely above last years numbers, which one member said weren't that great at the time

So the industry isn't recession proof



Did any other numbers get leaked? GAF has Little King's Story at 6k and the Conduit at 60-70k.



Currently playing on PS3: God of War III

Currently playing on Xbox360: Final Fantasy XIII

Currently playing on NDS: Chrono Trigger

Ail said:
TheSource said:

I'm expecting PS3/360 hardware cuts but since NPD doesn't provide weekly sales, Wii may have boosted alot in the week Wii Sports Resort was out. August will be telling in that regard. I suspect if Wii flatlines or drops in August, then yeah, we get a Wii price cut. No shame in it really, Wii came in Nov 2006 - one price cut in three years is unbelievable historically speaking.


That's not really what VGChartz numbers showed...

The only way this would be true was if Wii sales were much lower than VGChartz the first 3 weeks of July and closer to VGChartz the last week.

That would mean that on a weekly basis the number on this site are actually much more off than the monthly comparison with NPD shows...

 

Also if you saw the post I made in the last page, we were damn close on everything else. So its less likely that we are off.



Tease.