In answer to some relevant questions.
The prediction is for the North American market. I am sorry I was not more specific I will correct that in the original post. The first reason is that the game launches three days later in Europe on a Friday as opposed to a Tuesday. The second reason is a release date for Japan has not been announced, but granted no discussion it might not actually arrive this year. So obviously a world wide prediction would be a flawed prediction, and a impossible one as well.
Why hardware and software. There are many reasons to do this. One reason is to make the predictions challenging. There are more combinations, and more thought is required. That brings about greater discussion which is the real point behind a thread. This also is relevant to other questions about holiday hardware performance, and software performance. Which we should be getting in the mindset to discuss. This should make the thread more entertaining then a simple one number prediction thread.