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Forums - Sales Discussion - The Official May 2009 NPD Thread (Data at 6:30 PM EST)

darthdevidem01 on 11 June 2009
NJ5 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
no the PS3 target is realistic if the PS3 Slim is true

PSP target is completely unrealistic, & that was set in stone the moment they announced PSP GO! would be for $250

Did you read this thread?

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=76108

If the PS3 slim / price cut come in the holidays then PS3 sales will have to increase by a huge amount from last year... I haven't calculated but maybe 60-80%.

 


looks difficult then.

But if GOW3 & GT5 make it in March 2010 (as they are rumored to) I think 13 Million shouldn't be hard. (I mean they will get close, something like 12.8 Million shipped & probably 12.1 Million sold)

Slim in holidays with $399 price

GT5 will take care of the rest by the time march ends (their financial year ends at the end of march right) & GOW3 can help by adding a tiny spike compared to GT5's huge wedding cake of a spike!



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

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Aiemond on 11 June 2009

Boring month.



Now Playing: The Witcher (PC)

Consoles Owned: NES, SNES, N64, PS1, PS2, Wii, Xbox 360, Game Boy, DS

kirby007 on 11 June 2009

guys isn't it about time we here value vgc>npd



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

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NJ5 on 11 June 2009
darthdevidem01 said:
NJ5 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
no the PS3 target is realistic if the PS3 Slim is true

PSP target is completely unrealistic, & that was set in stone the moment they announced PSP GO! would be for $250

Did you read this thread?

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=76108

If the PS3 slim / price cut come in the holidays then PS3 sales will have to increase by a huge amount from last year... I haven't calculated but maybe 60-80%.

 


looks difficult then.

But if GOW3 & GT5 make it in March 2010 (as they are rumored to) I think 13 Million shouldn't be hard. (I mean they will get close, something like 12.8 Million shipped & probably 12.1 Million sold)

Slim in holidays with $399 price

GT5 will take care of the rest by the time march ends (their financial year ends at the end of march right) & GOW3 can help by adding a tiny spike compared to GT5's huge wedding cake of a spike!

This is how PS3 sales went in the previous fiscal year. Divided into three periods to make it easy:

Period 1: April-October 2008 (pre-holiday): 5 million
Period 2: November-December 2008 (holiday season): 3.1 million
Period 3: January-March 2009 (Q1): 2 million

Without a price cut before the holidays, it's on target to sell 3-4 million in period 1 this year. Then it needs at least 9 million in periods 2 and 3 combined, compared to 5 million last year.

That's an increase of exactly 80%, or almost doubling sales in the holiday period and Q1... Do you think a price cut, slim and GT5 in March (i.e. almost the end of the year) can do that?

 



My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957

darthdevidem01 on 11 June 2009
NJ5 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
NJ5 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
no the PS3 target is realistic if the PS3 Slim is true

PSP target is completely unrealistic, & that was set in stone the moment they announced PSP GO! would be for $250

Did you read this thread?

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=76108

If the PS3 slim / price cut come in the holidays then PS3 sales will have to increase by a huge amount from last year... I haven't calculated but maybe 60-80%.

 


looks difficult then.

But if GOW3 & GT5 make it in March 2010 (as they are rumored to) I think 13 Million shouldn't be hard. (I mean they will get close, something like 12.8 Million shipped & probably 12.1 Million sold)

Slim in holidays with $399 price

GT5 will take care of the rest by the time march ends (their financial year ends at the end of march right) & GOW3 can help by adding a tiny spike compared to GT5's huge wedding cake of a spike!

This is how PS3 sales went in the previous fiscal year. Divided into three periods to make it easy:

Period 1: April-October 2008 (pre-holiday): 5 million
Period 2: November-December 2008 (holiday season): 3.1 million
Period 3: January-March 2009 (Q1): 2 million

Without a price cut before the holidays, it's on target to sell 3-4 million in period 1 this year. Then it needs at least 9 million in periods 2 and 3 combined, compared to 5 million last year.

That's an increase of exactly 80%, or almost doubling sales in the holiday period and Q1... Do you think a price cut, slim and GT5 in March (i.e. almost the end of the year) can do that?

 

lol no ofcourse not.

hmmmmmmm......then maybe they will cut price next month to get 60GB & 80GB's out of the circulation & then introduce the slim with a new marketing campaign

remember they actually did that in 2007, they had a price cut on the 60GB to get rid of the stock

if they did that would it be possible? Otherwise your right it seems less & less possible unless 0 GT fans have brought  a PS3 so far



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

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Squilliam on 11 June 2009
NJ5 said:

This is how PS3 sales went in the previous fiscal year. Divided into three periods to make it easy:

Period 1: April-October 2008 (pre-holiday): 5 million
Period 2: November-December 2008 (holiday season): 3.1 million
Period 3: January-March 2009 (Q1): 2 million

Without a price cut before the holidays, it's on target to sell 3-4 million in period 1 this year. Then it needs at least 9 million in periods 2 and 3 combined, compared to 5 million last year.

That's an increase of exactly 80%, or almost doubling sales in the holiday period and Q1... Do you think a price cut, slim and GT5 in March (i.e. almost the end of the year) can do that?

 

Thanks NJ5 for making it clearer. I can't access a lot of the features because the top menu is broken for me. I don't think its possible because $299 isn't significantly different enough in price to $399 to expect a doubling of sales (nearly). Especially as one would expect Microsoft to aslo drop the price enough to maintain the relative gap between the Xbox 360 and the PS3 as 50% for the Xbox 360 Arcade ($150) and between $50-75 for the Xbox 360 Premium ($225-$250 or 25-16% cheaper)



Tease.

NJ5 on 11 June 2009

@darth: Yeah that makes sense. Right now I'm not sure what to believe, price cut soon, or just before the holidays (and forgetting about the sales targets).

Also, I'm still not very convinced the slim model will come this year. However GT5 could come in November or December.



My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957

darthdevidem01 on 11 June 2009

@NJ5

GT5 & GT:P won't launch at the same time/near eachother

I don't think SONY would want GT5 completely overshadowing GT:P



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

Gilgamesh on 11 June 2009

Wow Wii under 300K PS3 + X360 > Wii

DS UFC InFamous low

and everything else is pretty well bang on



FilaBrasileiro on 11 June 2009

UFC 2009 undertracked heavily for both PS3 and 360
inFamous undertracked as well

Will this be fixed? I doubt it, look at MLB 09 The Show....still undertracked today, as is Madden 09 PS3 and 360.....