The Official May 2009 NPD Thread (Data at 6:30 PM EST)

[NJ5]

darthdevidem01 said:

NJ5 said:

darthdevidem01 said:
no the PS3 target is realistic if the PS3 Slim is true

PSP target is completely unrealistic, & that was set in stone the moment they announced PSP GO! would be for $250

Did you read this thread?

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=76108

If the PS3 slim / price cut come in the holidays then PS3 sales will have to increase by a huge amount from last year... I haven't calculated but maybe 60-80%.

 

looks difficult then.

But if GOW3 & GT5 make it in March 2010 (as they are rumored to) I think 13 Million shouldn't be hard. (I mean they will get close, something like 12.8 Million shipped & probably 12.1 Million sold)

Slim in holidays with $399 price

GT5 will take care of the rest by the time march ends (their financial year ends at the end of march right) & GOW3 can help by adding a tiny spike compared to GT5's huge wedding cake of a spike!

This is how PS3 sales went in the previous fiscal year. Divided into three periods to make it easy:

Period 1: April-October 2008 (pre-holiday): 5 million
Period 2: November-December 2008 (holiday season): 3.1 million
Period 3: January-March 2009 (Q1): 2 million

Without a price cut before the holidays, it's on target to sell 3-4 million in period 1 this year. Then it needs at least 9 million in periods 2 and 3 combined, compared to 5 million last year.

That's an increase of exactly 80%, or almost doubling sales in the holiday period and Q1... Do you think a price cut, slim and GT5 in March (i.e. almost the end of the year) can do that?