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Forums - Sales Discussion - Worldwide Wii sales are now only 4 million behind Xbox360 - closing the gap

Starting next month there's supposed to be a increase in production... or maybe it starts this month but we don't see the "Extra hardware" until the end of the month/next month... who knows. But the fact of the matter is that the wii is selling fantastic, and doesn't seem to be slowing down this month either. :)



Nobody is crazy enough to accuse me of being sane.

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I had Wii at 350k in Japan because months like March will be slow...around 300k, while April should be like 400k with Paper Mario. February I think will be about average, and Wii sold 350k in Japan in February. Jan was 450k so that offsets a slower month. Then I think it hits a plateau of around 80,000 a week in Japan with another 2/7 to 3/7 of 80,000 added to account for months being 30 or 31 days, not 28. Vg charts seems to have Wii at 200-300k in Others/month since 2007 started...which means Wii sold 1.1-1.3 million units in January..with at least 1 million confirmed via US NPD (435,000), Japan (450,000 - M-Create), the fudge rule throws in another 40-50k for Canada, Mexico, Latin America, and then Europe...Australia..Europe sold 800,000 Wii's in December and demand was not met. So I'd put like 150,000 at least in Europe. Realistically, probably over 200,000. January 200k-300k (Europe)+485k+450k ~1,200,000 February 200k-300k (Europe)+ 350k (Japan) + 300-500k (Americas?) ~ 1,000,000 Europe and Americas may be higher here because of fewer shipments to Japan.



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

You can't say sales will go up or down because of games yet, TheSource, because the Wii is still selling out regardless. Until it's in regular supply, we can't gauge the effects of games on moving the hardware. Except Wii Sports, that's probably the biggest launch-date console seller in over a decade. :)



Nobody is crazy enough to accuse me of being sane.

jmcoo7 said: I think the ps3 will not be a major factor until 2008 , then i expect some major changes and developments . The wii will lead the xbox 360 by nov or dec at the latest . I expect they both will trail the ps3 by xmas 2008 . The numbers will be very close in my opinion between all three .
MOTORSTORM madness has already begun...........just to day at bestbuy i saw around 7 people each picking up a copy of MOTORSTORM . March is a big month for ps3 and it is expected to come very close to Wii in terms of monthly sales. i can safely bet that ps3 would sell 13 million units by the end of the year. If LAIR can meet the expectations then that figure would reach 20 m no doubt. ofcourse in 2008 ps3 takes total control..................with the PLAYSTATION EDGE i believe we would see SHREK quality games in no time. i can challenge anyone about ps3's prospect. HOME claerly dwarved any xbox live storm. MOTORSTORM i believe might have sold 500 k by now. (NA and JAP)



13 million units this year with PS3? HA! Funniest number I've ever heard. Ever. Why not say 20m or 25m? As for Wii catch-up. I say November. In April, we'll most likely see Wii demand going to the level of the 360 or so in the US, only allowing Japan to make up for the 360. However, since MC only had the Wii at 57k for the week, I question how well it'll continue to do. 9 months (about 36 weeks) between now and November. 36 weeks x 60k ahead of 360 in Japan = 2.16m units between now & November. That puts Wii behind by under 2m units in November. I doubt the Wii will really out-sell the 360 in the US consistently over the summer. It might sell around 750k more units between Feb NPD and then...And that's putting it high. So the lead is down to a little above 1m. So then the Wii has to make 1m systems in other territories, which should be close. So I say it'll catch up in November or December, as it'll do great in Japan then.



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Of the 3 consoles, the Wii is hardest to guess, and probably will be until supply > demand. When that will happen is anyone's guess. But until that DOES happen, all we're doing is throwing around theories with incredibly little basis, at least in regards to sales numbers. There are enough wii-haters to let us know when they start appearing in stores regularly, that's for sure. And I mean some kind of evidence, not just a few random people saying wii-are-doomed. :-/

MOTORSTORM madness has already begun...........just to day at bestbuy i saw around 7 people each picking up a copy of MOTORSTORM . March is a big month for ps3 and it is expected to come very close to Wii in terms of monthly sales.
I'm sure it will be a big month for PS3, they need SOMETHING to play besides Resistance. :)



Nobody is crazy enough to accuse me of being sane.

i don't understand why still a lot of sony fanboys r still thinking ps3s gawn come on top. cuz ps3's getting raped i dont see it ever comin on top. wit gta4 and most of the best selling exclusives coming to 360 also i dont tink sony has a chance this gen. dont get me wrong i thought ps2 was the best system ever made but yo his gen itz over for sony.



Who cares? Wii doesn't affect 360. 360 will beat the PS3, that's what counts.. Wii is like a toy..the real system battle is 360 vs PS3.



On some level all videogames are like toys. GTA is a toy that lets you live out your testosterone driven fantasies of killing & stealing, while Mario is a toy that lets you imagine what it would be like to jump really far and really high with olympic level athleticism as a fat italian plumber, who can also throw fire balls, ride dinosaurs, and fly. It really depends on what you'd like to do in real life if there were no consequences or limits on how to construct reality. I would say Mario is closer to art because of how abstract the concept of a fatass with amazing athleticism and superpowers is, while GTA is similar to an idea I thought of when I was 7. It was only a matter of time until someone invented a game where you could kill people you don't need or like to create a criminal empire. The art in GTA is that it doesn't hide from the darker side of human desire.



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

Just some basic number crunching and excel fun... The 3 month to 12 month American sales ratio of all consoles (listed on Gamerankings): ( 3 month / 12 month ) = ratio Dreamcast: 1,138,500/2,110,500 = 0.708 Nintendo DS: 1,607,000/2,754,000 = 0.583 Gameboy Advance:1,876,000/7,682,500=0.244 Gamecube:1,362,250/2,634,500=0.517 N64:1,294,250/3,884,000=0.333 Playstation:340,500/1,421,500= 0.239 PS2:1,309,750/4,643,500= 0.282 PSP:1,341,750/4,396,250= 0.305 Xbox:1,789,000/3,526,750= 0.507 Xbox 360: 929,750/3,195,500= 0.290 Min: 0.239 Max: 0.708 Average: 0.401 *Realistic: 0.372 Using these ratios we get sales for the Wii at: Max: 7,214,999 Min: 2,439,435 Average: 4,308,240 *Realistic: 4,637,951 And sales for the PS3 at: Max: 4,322,946 Min: 1,461,614 Average: 2,581,329 *Realistic: 2,778,879 Which would mean for the rest of the year the Wii would need to average (approximately) Max: 600,000 per month Min: 80,000 per month Average: 290,000 per month *Realistic: 325,000 per month And for the PS3: Max: 365,000 per month Min: 48,000 per month Average: 172,000 per month *Realistic: 195,000 per month *Realistic removes the two highest and the two lowest ratios ... The only reason I made this post was so that people could understand how unprecidented it would be to see the PS3/Wii sell at some of the levels people suggest ...