13 million units this year with PS3? HA! Funniest number I've ever heard. Ever. Why not say 20m or 25m? As for Wii catch-up. I say November. In April, we'll most likely see Wii demand going to the level of the 360 or so in the US, only allowing Japan to make up for the 360. However, since MC only had the Wii at 57k for the week, I question how well it'll continue to do. 9 months (about 36 weeks) between now and November. 36 weeks x 60k ahead of 360 in Japan = 2.16m units between now & November. That puts Wii behind by under 2m units in November. I doubt the Wii will really out-sell the 360 in the US consistently over the summer. It might sell around 750k more units between Feb NPD and then...And that's putting it high. So the lead is down to a little above 1m. So then the Wii has to make 1m systems in other territories, which should be close. So I say it'll catch up in November or December, as it'll do great in Japan then.
Back from the dead, I'm afraid.