numonex on 22 March 2009
| Impulsivity said: As far as the Wii hitting 50%, I think there's a decent chance it won't happen at all. If it does happen it won't be sustained. The reason is, quite simply, the Wii is just not accelerating in sales any more. In Japan it seems to have come pretty close to a plateau. It is being outsold by the PS3 semi regularly now. If you combine PS3 and 360 sales Japan almost evens out the Wii's advantage from North America. In Europe the Wii is indeed number one but not by much. The Wii is actually losing ground if you combine 360 and PS3 sales. Also the PS2 didn't just have the most hardware sales but by far the most software sales as well. In this case the Wii may have a lot of hardware sales but the 3rd party Software sales are just not there. There are not real 3rd party hits on the Wii especially not the 10 million sale mega hits the PS2 has tons of. The HD consoles combine for WAY more software sales then the Wii still, especially 3rd party software. When the PS3 drops the price I think 30% is very realisitic. I would bet the gen ends something like 30% PS3, 45% Wii 25% 360. That's about 2 years from now with a big PS3 price drop happening this year as a built in assumption. |
I think your prediction fails right in this last line. Assume = You make an ass out of you and me
http://www.businessweek.com/innovate/content/oct2006/id20061030_448590.htm?campaign_id=bier_innn.g3a.rssd1101a Read this article and you will be ROFLMAO. I guarantee it. lol. Pre-launch PS3, flash back to October 30 2006. Nostaltgia. High expectations. "PS3 should win console generation wars".
Oh boy were they so wrong.
