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Forums - Sales - Predict first week and LT SO4 sales in Japan, also 360 sales that week

Kantor said:
ROBOTECHHEAVEN said:
175k 1st week in japan
350k lifetime sales in japan
30k hardware boost in japan
1 million + in worldwide sales , i think it will do more than that. ( star ocean 4 )

as for yakuza 3 , i dont know about the game. never heard of it before part 3 was announced for the ps3. i think based off of what ive heard about the game it will do good in japan. but it seems like shenmue too me and that was a niche game, so overall i think star ocean 4:the last hope will outsell yakuza 3 in worldwide and lifetime sales.



Really?

Yakuza 2 is sitting at 760k in Japan, 40k in NA, no data for EU.

Star Ocean: Till The End of Time is sitting at 535k in Japan, 740k in NA, no data for EU.

In fact, I think we're predicting too high for The Last Hope, if a PS2 game did that much in Japan...

I wouldn't expect Star Ocean IV to hit a million, seeing as a PS2 game only got 1.3 million.

 

 

With good marketing and time it'll get there.

Even LO, a new IP,  is going to pass 1 mill in a couple of months so it should be possible for SO4 as well




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Japan
750k LTD

USA
650K LTD

Others
600K LTD

Total = 2 million



^lol




LULZ indeed, especially since the game is not going to make it to the NA and EU anyway.



 

Guys, bear in mind that SO3 did 400k first week on the PS2...you know, that console the Japanese love?

It won't do anything near that on the 360...you know, that console the Japanese don't like very much?



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People really are predicting crazy numbers for SO4 in Japan, for even 200k sales we are looking at an attach rate of 5:1 so for every 5 360 owners, 1 will purchase SO4. Sadly people also have no idea about the Yakuza franchise and how big it is in Japan, people will be in for a shocker.



 

RPG said:
LULZ indeed, especially since the game is not going to make it to the NA and EU anyway.

 

 you are talking about yakuza right? Star Ocean alreads has a release date for NA and I think even for Europe.

 

my prediction:

Japan

  • 120k first week
  • 210k LTD

NA

  • 120k first week
  • 500k LTD

Europe

  • 80k first week
  • 350k LTD

WORLDWIDE:

  • 320k first week
  • 1.1 million LTD


Imagine not having GamePass on your console...

RPG said:
People really are predicting crazy numbers for SO4 in Japan, for even 200k sales we are looking at an attach rate of 5:1 so for every 5 360 owners, 1 will purchase SO4. Sadly people also have no idea about the Yakuza franchise and how big it is in Japan, people will be in for a shocker.

 

But X360 is owned by hardcore japanese gamers, so an attach rate of 5:1 is not far-off.



But that would still only be 200k, nothing compared to what Yakuza 3 will do in Japan. 360 owners in Japan are "hardcore" but then again so are PS3 owners, you cant call 360 owners "hardcore" but not PS3 owners when the console costs twice as much.



 

1st week sw: 140k
1st week hw: 45k

ltd sw: 350k

^ive put it a bit higher as s.o series is popular in japan.



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