Impossible. 49.6% is the max, I myself predict 49.4% at the end of the year.

I think the Wii would sell out before it hits that point.

360 will be closer to 28m, maybe even 29m.

PS3 should still hit 20m by Jan 1st - or be very close.

So the Wii will need to be closer to 48-49m, which is beyond what I think they can do this year. Close - but no cigar...

needs to outsell ps360 by 2.26million by the end of the year, I doubt it, given it was only able to outsell them by around 200-300k last week

I'd say early to mid feb

It's anti-climactic, anyway.

Largely exceeded 60% of last gen at the end of 2005 and even exceeded 70% at the end of 2006, but is still growing, as PS2 is still selling now, while its competitors have long died.

supply there is your issue.... nintendo has been slow to ramp up production to meet demand (yes i know they have upped it, but not enough, so its either ineptitude, or a plan to keep it short) after 2 years there is no excuse to be short now.

ill go with no all due to there not being enough wii supply. early january it will happen


I think another thing to look at is will the ps3 stay above 20% market share

I doubt the 360 can hold on to 30%

YES I am very happy for nintendo.

They stay just a little behind demand, but they aren't so wrong doing so, being megalomaniac and ramping up production too much, maybe following a period of higher than normal success, could hurt them in the future, allowing themselves to observe demand and being able to tell after due consideration whether each increase is a durable one or a spike they won't disappoint too much customers, only a small part of them will have to wait a little bit longer to grab a Wii, and they don't risk finding themselves with excessive production and costs.

Ummmm no. My bet is in January.