If Nintendo increases production for the rest of the year it's possible.

If the Wii continues at its current rates, it will probably not quite hit 50% by years end (though it may break 49.5%). The post-holiday cooldown tends to be slower for the Wii than for other consoles, though, so it stands a good chance of breaking 50% not long after the end of the year.

Oh, btw, the Wii adjustment we just saw was on 305,266 units. I'm guessing it was only america numbers, to get VGC in line with NDP.

It's possible to, but I'm a little split on if I want it to. I promised myself before when it launched to have a party when the Wii reaches 50%, but there are already going to be parties going on during the end of the year, so it would seem more fun if it waited a little later so I'd have a reason to throw a party. It would be nice to see though.

I think I was one of the few previously that didn't rule it out, and showed how the numbers could work...  showing that how well or poorly the 360/ps3 do will determine if it makes it or not, but it was clearly possible, not really likely.

nah it'll hit 49% by the end of the year. the coveted 50% will have to wait for probably february.

If PS3 will have sold 20million total by year's end and XB360 27-28million, Wii will need to have sold 47-48million by that date to reach 50%, plain and simple.
I really don't know if they can, demand exists, productive and shipping capacity are the bottleneck... But I doubt Nintendo is willing to increase costs, as it would need to strengthen production and shipping just to break a record that wouldn't be a real one, as PS2 holds a record share for its generation quite difficult to beat, while Nintendo is already breaking records, if it really needs them at all, with DS.

PS3 won't reach 20 million, it'll be around 19 million

360 will be around 27 million

So if Wii breaches 46 million then yes its very possible that Wii will have 50%

what was/is the market share of the PS2?

Nah, very much doubt it. Expect it to end up around the 49.5% share ratio - and blow past 50% in Jan/early Feb (as sales of the 360/PS3 significantly drop post-Xmas).

I still believe Ninty will sell *every* Wii they can ship - even if its something insane, like 10m (worldwide). If they can ship double what they did in Nov... its possible.