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Forums - Sales Discussion - Is there a chance the PS3 WON'T hit 20m this year?

seece said:
CrazzyMan said:
There is a chance, that PS3 won`t hit 23-24 mln.

 

Lifetime? ;)


i'm kind of sure that he means 2008

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I say it can hit 20 mil. Just about. I don't believe I predicted 21 million.

And if there's a price cut next year, the PS3 will be at a LOT more than 27.3 million by the end of 2009. Don't forget Gran Turismo.



(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective

Reeves then went on to say that the PS3 has a bigger install base than the 360 in PAL territories, and that the install base gap will significantly increase in 2009.
So, i wouldn`t count on VG TODAY`S ESTIMATES on Europe HW, till more correct GFK and MCV data will be available. =)



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

The question should have been is there a chance the ps3 WILL hit 20m this year.



perpride???

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 24th Nov 2007 to 29th Dec 2007:

Console PS3
Total
2,748,170
America
1,073,866
Japan
301,090
Total Others
1,373,214

Any reason for PS3 to sell worse with incoming LBP bundles in Europe, PES in Japan, new 160GB models, and other bundles? Not to mention, that PS3 is doing MUCH better in Europe, then VGC estimates are. =)



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

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Wrong price point and wrong system at the wrong time.

19M

(The lack of BC becomes a big distraction as people are looking to maximize the rationale for purchases in a down economy).

Mike from Morgantown



      


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saxophonehero said:
seece said:
CrazzyMan said:
There is a chance, that PS3 won`t hit 23-24 mln.

 

Lifetime? ;)


 

i'm kind of sure that he means 2008

 

Really?

 

Anyway, Crazzyman give it up.



 

with this trend , 200K a week for PS3, and 300K for Dec, it is destined to be 18-19.5 mil, and for xbox 360 it is destined to be at least 26, the ps3 and xbox 360 differences is growing.



CrazzyMan said:

perpride???

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 24th Nov 2007 to 29th Dec 2007:

Console PS3
Total
2,748,170
America
1,073,866
Japan
301,090
Total Others
1,373,214

Any reason for PS3 to sell worse with incoming LBP bundles in Europe, PES in Japan, new 160GB models, and other bundles? Not to mention, that PS3 is doing MUCH better in Europe, then VGC estimates are. =)

beacuse its not going to get a price cut like it did last year. the price cut was the key to holiday sales last year, with out them sony has given christmas to wii, and 360

 



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goddog said:
CrazzyMan said:

perpride???

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 24th Nov 2007 to 29th Dec 2007:

Any reason for PS3 to sell worse with incoming LBP bundles in Europe, PES in Japan, new 160GB models, and other bundles? Not to mention, that PS3 is doing MUCH better in Europe, then VGC estimates are. =)

beacuse its not going to get a price cut like it did last year. the price cut was the key to holiday sales last year, with out them sony has given christmas to wii, and 360

 

 

 Flawed logic.