Wii - 55/60
360 - 40/50
Ps3 - 90/100
I didnt say they were right and i didnt say i believe what they are predicting i was just saying even the people that are meant to have the most learned outlook on the situation dont and are just making outrageous predictions for the headline.
End of 2014 Hardware Predictions (03/03/14)
PlayStation 4: 12-15million
Xbox One: 7-10 million
Wii U: 8-9 million (Changed 01/04/2014 from 7-9 --> 8-9 million)
I'm thinking something like
Wii 130 million +
PS3 60 million
X360 30 million
It's really hard to predict the Wii, I mean the question is just how far can it go? This whole expanded audience thing really seems to be kicking in on the DS now, and even after 2 years of life it's still selling faster then any other console in the world. If the Wii can replicate something like that, then I think we know it's the winner, but I don't think we'll be able to start trying to predict that until we see what effect games like Wii Fit, Wii Music and Animal Crossing have on sales.
I'm pretty sure Wii has 2007 xmas covered though, I mean the cheapest price point combined with a strong line up of games should guarentee it only furthers it's lead in the short-term, and then once the third parties make this 'shift' will there be any turning back?
PS3 is again something I think it's too soon to judge. I think it's a given that Wii is simply going to gain a larger and larger lead over it in 2007 (unless it's price drops too $399), but even with the price drop I don't see it gaining alot of ground on the others. Come 2008 though, it has a huge killer line up and could well sell alot when games like MGS, GT5, LBP etc come out. Even then though, I don't see this awesome line up of games appealing to a band of gamers larger then 20m - 25m people. While the PS3 is picking up all these hardcore gamers, are it's sales going to be able to keep up with the Wii when there are tons of females are buying the Pearl Pink version with WarioWare and Boogie (or other demographics PS3 and 360 have no real appeal too).
And with 360, I just think it can't go much further then the original console. It's done nothing that shows me more people are going to buy it then those who did last generation, and with no sizeable sales in Japan I'm sure it's going to come third by the end of this generation.
So yeah, it will be very interesting I think.
Wii: 0 - 1 billion
PS3: 0 - 1 billion
360: 0 - 1 billion
I'm willing to bet I'm right ;)
j/k
I'm taking Rol's number
I'm an ALIEN!!!! - officially identified as by Konnichiwa
Of course... My English is still... horrible - appreciation and thanks to FJ-Warez
Brawl FC: 0301-9911-8154
Thank you, mitsuhide, for taking a predictions thread and turning into a mindless debate.
PS3: 5.51m/51w, avg 108,039/w (up 239)
360: 12.93m/102w, avg 126,764/w (up 625), leads PS3 by 7.42m (up 70k), avg lead 18,725/w (up 386)
Wii: 13.52m/51w, avg 265,098/w (dn 1,102), leads PS3 by 8.01m (up 90k), avg lead 157,059/w (dn 1,341)
If 360 sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass 360 by...
01/08: (008w) +875.8%, 04/08: (021w) +344.4%, 07/08: (034w) +219.3%, 10/08: (047w) +163.5%
01/09: (060w) +131.8%, 04/09: (073w) +111.4%, 07/09: (085w) +098.1%, 10/09: (099w) +086.7%
If Wii sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass Wii by...
01/08: (008w) +1072.%, 04/08: (021w) +498.4%, 07/08: (034w) +363.4%, 10/08: (047w) +303.1%
01/09: (060w) +269.0%, 04/09: (073w) +246.9%, 07/09: (085w) +232.6%, 10/09: (099w) +220.3%
If PS2 sales freeze, Wii sales increases needed to pass PS2 (as of Mar07, 108.4m) by...
2008: (008w) +4373.8%, 2009: (060w) +0496.5%, 2010: (112w) +0219.6%, 2011: (165w) +0116.9%
2012: (217w) +0064.9%, 2013: (269w) +0033.1%, 2014: (321w) +0011.5%, 2015: (376w) -0004.8%
At +0% it will pass it in 358w, the week ending September 19th, 2014, at an age of 409w (7y44w).
Current age of PS2: 7y37w.
Last update: Week ending November 3, 2007
here are my predictions i made about october last year;
PS3:- 70-80 mil
Wii:- 65-75 mil
360:- 30-40mil
[assuming i remembered them properly]
they dont seem to predict much of an industry growth though, and since Wii/PS3 release i need to revise them.
currently i would predict this;
set out with a min/max and then expected range---
minimum
Wii--- 60
I feel:
Ps3 - 40 Million - 90 Million (Large range because BRAND IS HUGE but Price High, so it id very eratic I feel)
Wii - 70 Million - 120 Million
Xbox 360 - 30 Million - 50 Million
Supporter of
SONY & Nintendo
Consoles owned - SNES, N64, PS, GC, PS2, PSP, PS3
I DO NOT support Xbox
My prediction for YEARS END:
WII - 18.3 Million
Xbox 360 - 15 Million
Playstation 3 - 8.5 Million
Some thing people over look when they guess the final sales.
PS3 and 360 WILL go down in price.
Their powerfull hardware gives then a longer life then wii.
Ps3/360 game line ups are WAY underestimated.
We have no clue if Wii can maintain their love affair with the non gamers.
The 3rd partys have still yet to take a clear side unlike the last two gens.
Nintendo has really been alienating the hardcore/core gamers.
Sony and MS wont just lay down and let Nintendo win.
PS2 is still ensuring PS3s future.
MS bank account is quite big, they could really go all out if they wanted.
PS brand has a past user base of +100 million, its still there waiting.
RolStoppable said:
|