By the end of this gen, how many pieces of hardware do you think Wii, PS3, 36

[jammy2211]

I'm thinking something like

Wii 130 million +

PS3 60 million

X360 30 million

It's really hard to predict the Wii, I mean the question is just how far can it go? This whole expanded audience thing really seems to be kicking in on the DS now, and even after 2 years of life it's still selling faster then any other console in the world. If the Wii can replicate something like that, then I think we know it's the winner, but I don't think we'll be able to start trying to predict that until we see what effect games like Wii Fit, Wii Music and Animal Crossing have on sales.
I'm pretty sure Wii has 2007 xmas covered though, I mean the cheapest price point combined with a strong line up of games should guarentee it only furthers it's lead in the short-term, and then once the third parties make this 'shift' will there be any turning back?

PS3 is again something I think it's too soon to judge. I think it's a given that Wii is simply going to gain a larger and larger lead over it in 2007 (unless it's price drops too $399), but even with the price drop I don't see it gaining alot of ground on the others. Come 2008 though, it has a huge killer line up and could well sell alot when games like MGS, GT5, LBP etc come out. Even then though, I don't see this awesome line up of games appealing to a band of gamers larger then 20m - 25m people. While the PS3 is picking up all these hardcore gamers, are it's sales going to be able to keep up with the Wii when there are tons of females are buying the Pearl Pink version with WarioWare and Boogie (or other demographics PS3 and 360 have no real appeal too).

And with 360, I just think it can't go much further then the original console. It's done nothing that shows me more people are going to buy it then those who did last generation, and with no sizeable sales in Japan I'm sure it's going to come third by the end of this generation.

So yeah, it will be very interesting I think.