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Some thing people over look when they guess the final sales.

PS3 and 360 WILL go down in price.
Their powerfull hardware gives then a longer life then wii.
Ps3/360 game line ups are WAY underestimated.
We have no clue if Wii can maintain their love affair with the non gamers.
The 3rd partys have still yet to take a clear side unlike the last two gens.
Nintendo has really been alienating the hardcore/core gamers.
Sony and MS wont just lay down and let Nintendo win.
PS2 is still ensuring PS3s future.
MS bank account is quite big, they could really go all out if they wanted.
PS brand has a past user base of +100 million, its still there waiting.