Here are 9 of my Nintendo sales predictions. Discuss!
1) The period from september 2008 to februari 2010 will be the peak of the Wii software and hardware wise. Good third party releases in this time period will sell really well (500k+)
2) Examples of games selling at least 500k (or even a million) in this period (within a year from release):
Star Wars Force Unleashed (million seller)
SimCity Creator
Call of Duty World at War (million seller)
The Conduit (million seller)
MadWorld
House of the Dead Overkill
Star Wars Clone Wars
Quantum of Solace
Lego Batman
Sonic Unleashed (million seller)
Sonic and the Black Knight
Spyborgs
Final Fantasy CC Crystal Bearers (million seller)
Monster Hunter 3 (million seller)
My Sims Kingdom
Spore (million seller)
Rayman Raving Rabids TV Party (million seller)
Castlevania Judgment
Skate It
Shaun White Snowboarding
Popular peripheral based music games (Guitar Hero, Rock Band, Samba de Amigo)
Popular EA and Konami Sports games (Fifa, Madden, Pro Evolution Socccer)
3) Call of Duty World at War will at least sell 750k units within a year. The Conduit will at least sell 800k units within a year.
4) Week ending april 25th 2009: No More Heroes will have sold 450k, Zack & Wiki will break 500k.
5) Week ending may 23th 2009: Wii will have sold over 50 million.
6) Wii will get a price drop between november 2009 and may 2010
7) The week ending february 6th 2010: Wii will have sold between 70 and 77 million units.
8) The Wii will stay a viable platform to release main titles on at least until january 2013. At the very best, the Wii is here to stat until january 2018.
9) The Wii will have sold at the absolute minimum a 100 million units at the time it stopped selling. I'm positive it won't ever reach 200 million. My prediction is that the Wii will have sold about 150 million units at the time it stops selling, which will be early 2016.