I bet you are exactly right. The PS3 will sell more than twice it has sold now in under 17 months especially with all those great games coming out on it.

end of 2009

PS3 23m

360:30m

Wii 45m

I think some of you are forgetting thats we are halfway through with 2008.

no more than 30 million for me, although i do think that the ps3 will have outsold the 360 by then. the wii will sell as much as nintendo can produce.

off-topic: mk wii is one of my best games this year.

I am going to be so happy when the PS3 goes past the X360 in worldwide consoles sales. That will happen around July 2009.

40 million will be a close call for the PS3. It could  well be in the 38 to 42 million sales range by the end of 2009.

It's not unrealistic at all.

The PS3 sold 7.5m units last year (2007) and has sold 5.5m already in 7 months of this year, so is well on the way to selling 10-12m this year alone.

Don't forget that the price will drop and at some point in 2009, the PS3 is likely to be $299 if not lower, so this will spur sales as well.

IMHO, it could be between 35-40m by the end of 2009 and it will also be larger than the 360 numbers IMHO as well.

SaviorX said:
2.2 a month (-.2m for stockipiling) times 11 with 1 3.0m month (holidays)=

That's some horrible stockpiling, 1.4m units disappeared!

regin2005 said:
Why does everyone assume the 360 will be in last place? The dude at microsoft conference e3 said the 360 will beat the ps3 ww.

Well that settles it, someone create the Rock_on's prediction was wrong thread. Microsoft dude already knows the future.

Wow there is some drinking going on in this thread.

First off PS3 will still be behind the 360 at the end of 2009.

Sony estimated 10 million PS3 sold during the current Fiscal year and if I remember correctly they have sold 1.5 million so far and the Fiscal year ends the end of March 2009. So PS3 hits Sonys estimate will be at about 23 million.

You really expect another 17 million in 9 months. Yeah right.

Look when FFXIII comes out the 360 in NA and Europe will already be the JRPG console. So many of the potential customers will be 360 owners. This will limit any short term bump the PS3 would have gotten. Now lets assume that I am wrong on this last point. Lets assume the PS3 is already at 25 million consoles sold and FFXIII releases. A very large percentage of people that wanted FFXIII and a PS3 will already have a PS3 by then. Again limiting any bump. See what happened with MGS4 for proof of this.

Now the GT5 argument. How many people that already purchased GT5P will be the first to purchase GT. I would expect that nearly all 2 million people (that is sales right now) will be GT5 purchasers and that means they wont be purchasing a PS3 for GT5. That is just the 2 million console owners now that already purchased GT5P, certainly by the end of 2009 many more people with PS3 will be GT5 purchasers. Again not causing a bump when a piece of software comes out. So many people here seem to believe that when GT5 comes out that everyone that wants it doesnt have a PS3 yet (same goes for FFXIII)

There is nothing on the horizon that will cause the PS3 to all of a sudden take off in sales to be able to sell 26 million in less than 1.5 years.

Oh by the way when stand alone Blu Ray players expected at about $200 for the Holidays 2008.  Dont expect the PS3 to be picked up as the cheapest Blu Ray player come the Holidays.

If that is true then the PS3 price would drop. But I doubt there would be a Blu Ray player going for $200 in the near future.

bestbuy already ran specials at 199, granted they were close out, but expect to see it this christmas, they need a critical install base to over come dvd sells, so my money is on 199 players, crappy ones but still blue ray players for 199

PS3 has the best quality Blu Ray player on the market and it is also a gaming console.

im thinking if it doesnt make it to that,it will be close