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Forums - Sales - The Conduit sales prediction

Cougarman on 18 July 2008

1.5-2 million life time if advertised well and gets 85+ reviews



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Oyvoyvoyv on 18 July 2008
Snesboy said:
Oyvoyvoyv said:
I predict lifetime sales to fall short of 500K copies.

I mean, what most people will look at this as, is Metroid Prime, without Samus, not made by Nintendo.

 

Most people don't know what Metroid is, moron. That's why it's a jaded franchise

 

 First, why did you add moron? Second, the people who are likely to look at The Conduit are likely to know who Samus is.

On one boxart Samus is there, on the other Samus isn't. Nintendo made one, and it is thus probably a good game. People are a lot more likely to pick up the one with Samus.

Killing aliens isn't really that popular among most people anymore.



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Cheebee on 18 July 2008
Snesboy said:
Zucas said:
Hard to tell. Considering there is obvious demand, will it still get the attention it deserves from the publisher that picks it up. If it gets similar advertising to that of Red Steel it could easily do over a million in its first week.

I'm hoping it does get that and about 1.2 million first week, most of that being in America, and about 3 million lifetime. But could pull a Goldeneye 007 and have some huge legs.

 

Seconded.

Thirded..?

 



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brute on 18 July 2008

i think around 1 million



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

Riachu on 18 July 2008
Oyvoyvoyv said:
Snesboy said:
Oyvoyvoyv said:
I predict lifetime sales to fall short of 500K copies.

I mean, what most people will look at this as, is Metroid Prime, without Samus, not made by Nintendo.

 

Most people don't know what Metroid is, moron. That's why it's a jaded franchise

 

First, why did you add moron? Second, the people who are likely to look at The Conduit are likely to know who Samus is.

On one boxart Samus is there, on the other Samus isn't. Nintendo made one, and it is thus probably a good game. People are a lot more likely to pick up the one with Samus.

Killing aliens isn't really that popular among most people anymore.

Actually killing aliens, well, killing anything in games in general, is actually very popular with gamers in the West

 



 

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famousringo on 18 July 2008

I think flagstaad and Sherlock's estimates are about right. I don't think a new IP like this will be able to move a million first week, even with great publisher and retail support.

@Oyvoyvoyv

There are a couple differences which you've forgotten between Conduit and Metroid. Conduit has online multiplayer, which will be a huge draw for a lot of gamers. And Conduit will focus on shooting lots of stuff, rather than exploration and challenging boss fights, which means it will target a more casual (and therefore larger) gaming audience.



"The worst part about these reviews is they are [subjective]--and their scores often depend on how drunk you got the media at a Street Fighter event."  — Mona Hamilton, Capcom Senior VP of Marketing
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nintendo_fanboy on 18 July 2008

I think we must be happy if it sells 1 million, 2 million would be quite a success already.

Of course if it gets advertised good, receives great scores and comes out at the right time, it could be a smash hit and sell north of 3 million, but we must be realistic. it is a new franchise from unproven developers, so we should just wait and see if it comes to sales.



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DTG on 18 July 2008

LOL, it'll be lucky to break 500 k in its lifetime.



Riachu on 18 July 2008
DTG said:
LOL, it'll be lucky to break 500 k in its lifetime.

FAIL.  Haze would be lucky to break 500K lifetime and that is because it sucked.  The Conduit has a lot of hype and the quality so far seems to be there.

 



 

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kirby007 on 18 July 2008
Riachu said:
DTG said:
LOL, it'll be lucky to break 500 k in its lifetime.

FAIL.  Haze would be lucky to break 500K lifetime and that is because it sucked.  The Conduit has a lot of hype and the quality so far seems to be there.

 

 

we will see, but i'm with DTG on this one



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