mrstickball said:
The truth is somewhere in the middle of that. Sony fanboys had the intelligence to stop hyping the game, but it was only until a month before it came out that most realized the Haze-is-awesome ship was going down. Up till January or so, the Haze hype machine was going pretty strong.
http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=24753
Wonderful thread of Haze predictions in April. Most Sony fans thought it'd reach 200,000 units first week, and some thought it'd sell over a million copies. Actuals? 150k first week, 310k life to date.
Funny predictions:
Dabus513 - 345k+ first week
Daactualfact - 245k
CaptainPreferences - 300k
Munkeh - 300k
And so on.
http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=13629 <-- Few comments in January about Haze being awesome (went as far as saying it'd be the next Uncharted, or Motorstorm).
http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=21358 <-- Best PS3 exclusive FPS? Pick between Haze, Resistance 2, or Killzone 2. Quite a few put Haze above either.
So there were quite a few people that believed that Haze would be pretty good up until the demo came out, and everyone learned that Haze was poor to mediocre.
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There is a difference between
If the reviews are good then people will go out and buy it,that seems will be the case for most as no one is realy sure about the game so i predict about 110k-200k if reviews are good.
i need some reviews before i guess on this game, i dont really know what to expect.
And people saying "OH MY GOD THIS IS THE BEST GAME IN DA WORLDZ!"
anyways why wouldn't you quote this in there.
Yes, I do think it's reasonable. I doubt we will see much marketing behind Haze, and based on the impressions/podcasts from the press, it sounds like they don't have much good things to say. Besides, GRAW2 (i presume that's the game you are talking about) is a sequel and has the Clansy brand on it. Haze might have decent legs if the reviews come out good though but i think the initial week of sales will look alot like Burnout paradise(PS3) except high US numbers. Either way, I'm still going to rent this game b/c i want to try the 4 player co-op and i actually like the mantle armours.
Just because people thought it would sell decently doesn't mean it was being hyped. Saying people actually thought it would hit 1 mil doesnt say much. Look at Cod4 on the Ps3 or Resistance.
anyways back to more quotes.
If reviews are decent but not great, which I expect, 130-150k ww.
If reviews are great, maybe 180k.
If reviews are bad, this has a potential to be a sub 100k stinker.
Bad timing for release
Delays have killed is hype/positive press
Very little advertising
Quality seems iffy, even though its Free Radical
But of course... we were all saying how godly it was.
Anyways SDF king himeslf Leo j - Looks ok, nothing impressive though.