Its not long till we've seen 47-50 percent of the userbase on the Wii worldwide, maybe 3-4 months or earlier than that...

Really?

http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=PS3&reg2=All&cons3=X360&reg3=All&start=39236&end=39600

To me, it looks more like it moves .2 forward, drops 1 back, moves 2 forward, drops 1 back



Basing on just the last 4 weeks to judge the next 12 seems kinda silly to me.

It wont get to 50% till way into next year...

@Oyvoyvoyv 

Well then it averages out to .1 steps forward a week doesn't it?

Yep. I noticed this as well, which is why in the NA sales thread i mentioned that at this rate they might hit 50% before the holidays.

If not, then definitely by end of year. In fact I think 55% is doable by end of year.

That's due to adjustments.

Well, the micro-patterns don't matter, what matters is that it's getting there.

yeah,i think wii will hav 50% by the end of november

Great :)
only .1% closer to 50%
every little bit helps

No, +2 and then -1 is 1 over 2 weeks, which means that it moved .1 forward in two weeks, not 1.

 That means it is moving roughly 0.05 forward a week.

Of course, this doesn't mean that it actually does move 0.05/week, it was just a way of saying that it didn't move steadily.

for a 50% market this year, it means the Wii will need to sell 175K more units then the PS3 and 360 combined for the next 29 weeks.

BUT, at it's current rate, Yes, it should see a 47% market share in about 3-4 months. (Aprox 17 weeks over 4 months).

It's been shown that the wii can easily make up between 50K and 100K ontop of the combined sales of PS3 and 360 every week WW (Averaged out).