I believe it will.

it might even be more,if ninty ships januaries stock just like last holiday

 That may be yes... but going back to the PSP they projected 15 million for the fiscal year I believe, of course that is representing the year 3 months later than calendar, but it will be mostly in this calendar year.... so perhaps they are wanting to drop the PSP price this year?


If Nintendo keep production at their new figure of 2.4 million p/month, there is absolutely no way they can sell more than 44 million.... wheras the PSP looks like it will get to 43 million without a price drop, so if this Christmas it has a boost due to price drop it may be able to sell just out of the Wiis reach.

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@ anyone claiming 47 million + Wiis sold by the end of the year. Bare what I just said in mind, Nintendo have aimed to be at 2.4 million Wiis produced per month by July, which should work out at about 43 milllion shipped before 2009, however if they can ramp up production to that level sooner they can manage 44 million.


Nintendo will have to raise production again before the final quarter just to get over 44 milllion shipped, and the only way to reach 47 million would be to sail right past 2.4mil p/month in June and get an average of 3 million produced per month from July to November (even with air shipping not many of the consoles produced in December can be shipped before January)



I feel like Crazzy with all the bolded and underlined words.... however my logic is sound, even the most hopeful of the hopeful should think of 45 million as a maximum, and that would only be possible with a further increase in production before October.

The answer is simple : no .

The PSP , thanks to MHP2G and all the upcoming niche games in Japan will probably outsell the Wii during the entire summer . Also , bundles like the Madden 09 and CoO will probably help a lot in the US , and Im guessing that Sony has something up its sleeves in Others ( maybe a pricedrop ? ) .

Now there is still a gap of nearly 8.5 million , and the PSP is far from selling badly , and I do bealive that it will do ~ 43 million untill the end of the year . For that the Wii should sell over 16 million units ... and to be honest I dont think it will do it ...

But who knows , PSP sales could plummit and Wii sales could rise even more . You can never know the future :?

See if the Wii sales depend very much on supply, and like I said the shipped (LTD) number from Nintendo is going to be between 42 and 44 million. And the indication from PSP sales so far in 2008 suggests to me it will end up about 43 million as long as sales keep their pace.

I personally think you will be correct about the PSP, which will end up about 43 million, while I think Wii supply will not quite be large enough (I am expecting the shipped figure to be announced as just over 43 million, but the sales will be 400-500k short of that)

The answer isn't however a simple "no" because it is going to be very close indeed. (unless PSP has a price drop, in which case I doubt it will end the year on less than 43 million and will likely end with 44 ish.) 

Nintendo's planing to hit a number around 43 million install base by January 09.

If you calculate it, you'll see the Wii will need to outsell the PSP 296k every week from the first week on june.. you still think it will happen? It has only done that in the weeks of the Brawl and Mario Kart launch I think (I state this from my mind, you might want to check, but it won't be man more weeks than a couple because of major releases)..

You're assuming linear sales ... When you factor in the (typical) holiday season boost, the Wii really only has to average somewhere between 100,000 and 150,000 units per week more than the PSP if they can supply an adequate number of units to get a full boost.

yes it can, PSP is selling higher only in Japa, but Wii is always much higher in weekly WW sales : )