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TWRoO on 28 May 2008
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Viper1 said:
DaxIthR said:

I don't post much around here, but I think it would be pretty remarkable for the Wii to do in 2 years what the PSP couldn't do in 4, even though there is little overlap between the two. Wii would obviously also pass the N64 LTD figure in the process.

Nintendo's decision to increase production gives this prediction hope, but I expect Sony to drop the price of the PS2 (to $99), the PSP (to $149 or $129) and perhaps even the PS3 to ($349) this year. Sony needs to give its shareholders confidence and the PS2 is finally dying. It could make a big move towards catching up to the 360 with another price drop. Also, the price drop would give revenue a spike to the "PlayStation family" as Sony likes to spin it. And they pretty much need to show that the PlayStation brand continues to grow.

Thoughts? What would be greater victory? Nintendo ruling the home console roost, or Sony putting such a big dent in Nintendo's portable monopoly?


Everyone else has already spoken up on your main point so I'll tackle this one.

 

Sony has projected FY2009 sales for the PS3 at 10 million. This low number combined with a few key statement made by Sony during their FY conference has made it clear they do not plan to cut the price this year. They are still losing money per PS3 sold so their focus this year ti to achieve profitability, not market share.

 

This will appease shareholders more than actual market share would so it makes sense as acorporate decision to pursue this angle.


 That may be yes... but going back to the PSP they projected 15 million for the fiscal year I believe, of course that is representing the year 3 months later than calendar, but it will be mostly in this calendar year.... so perhaps they are wanting to drop the PSP price this year?


If Nintendo keep production at their new figure of 2.4 million p/month, there is absolutely no way they can sell more than 44 million.... wheras the PSP looks like it will get to 43 million without a price drop, so if this Christmas it has a boost due to price drop it may be able to sell just out of the Wiis reach.

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@ anyone claiming 47 million + Wiis sold by the end of the year. Bare what I just said in mind, Nintendo have aimed to be at 2.4 million Wiis produced per month by July, which should work out at about 43 milllion shipped before 2009, however if they can ramp up production to that level sooner they can manage 44 million.


Nintendo will have to raise production again before the final quarter just to get over 44 milllion shipped, and the only way to reach 47 million would be to sail right past 2.4mil p/month in June and get an average of 3 million produced per month from July to November (even with air shipping not many of the consoles produced in December can be shipped before January)



I feel like Crazzy with all the bolded and underlined words.... however my logic is sound, even the most hopeful of the hopeful should think of 45 million as a maximum, and that would only be possible with a further increase in production before October.