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Forums - Sales - Nintendo Wii will see regular 1,000,000 per month sales in U.S.

johnlucas said:

Hello everybody. Been away too long I know.

Personal illness, death in the family, work, side projects, election season madness (Gobama!), lots of stuff getting in the way of my participation time here at the VGC.

But never fear...Johnny Boy is sho nuff here.

And I have come with another prediction. On what else but the Nintendo Wii. Ready?

We see VGC & NPD reporting the numbers the Wii has been pulling in lately and they are astounding. Like I knew they would be. But of course we know we really have seen nothing yet.

Even with all the volume they push out demand is STILL far beyond this amazing supply. Never has a game company produced this many consoles before in gaming history and STILL it is not enough.

We are 1 1/2 years, 1.5 years, 1 year and 6 months into the lifespan of the Nintendo Wii and STILL it's like we have never left launch time way back in November of 2006. You can never find them in stores on a regular basis and it's like luck running into one in the wild.

GTA IV, the mega blockbuster it is, barely moved the hardware of the XBox 360 and the PlayStation 3. Meanwhile Super Smash Bros. Brawl & MarioKart Wii have helped to push Wii sales near to the 3/4 million mark. And who KNOWS what's going to happen once Wii Fit finally launches in the U.S. in a few days!

I said it many times. Nintendo's software potential can only grow with its hardware supply which creates more software potential to make more hardware supply. The upward spiral effect, you know. They have announced that paltry 2.4 million a month number in their financial report. This will change & like I said (http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=17683&start=100) you will see that 4.1 million a month figure before it is all said and done with.

Because of that guess what?

The Wii will eventually see REGULAR, HABITUAL, COMMON sales of 1,000,000 per month more or less in the United States of America. Not a fluke of a million or holiday seasonal millions but regular year, all year monthly sales totals of 1 million, 900 thousand, 1 million 100 thousand.

Somebody call Dr. Evil: ONE MILLION Wiis per month sold in the U.S. of A.

The 3/4 of a million they are already getting is because they simply don't have more to ship. That number could have gone much higher. Nintendo's building and building back catalog of powerhouse games going back to the launch period compel more Wii fans to join the craze. Wii Fit alone brings in countless audience. Especially once that thing hits Oprah & the morning news shows.

Big games making big sales but not showing how big those sales can really be due to the lack of common supply. Wait until Nintendo REALLY starts ratcheting up this machine. You will then see regular sales of plus/minus ONE MILLION per month when it comes to the Wii.

Holiday period may push this into TWO and maybe even THREE MILLION territory during that high-selling time.

The WiiDS Phenomenon is real, ladies and gentlemen. I've been trying to prepare you for it. I've seen this coming for a long time. 3rd parties are scared to give Nintendo too much power when it comes to support and I can't blame them. Nintendo is showing who owns the videogame market. It only gets worse (or better if you are of that point of view) from here, kids.

Whatcha think?

John Lucas


My hero's back.  I've missed you man.  I read the post and was thinking this guy sounds like John Lucas.  Didn't realise it was until I saw the signature at the bottom as I normally recognise him from his avatar which has now been changed.

 



Biggest Pikmin Fan on VGChartz I was chosen by default due to voting irregularities

Super Smash Brawl Code 1762-4158-5677 Send me a message if you want to receive a beat down

 

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DMeisterJ said:
johnlucas said:

We are 1 1/2 years, 1.5 years, 1 year and 6 months into the lifespan of the Nintendo Wii and STILL it's like we have never left launch time way back in November of 2006. You can never find them in stores on a regular basis and it's like luck running into one in the wild.

John Lucas


Just wanted to focus on this statement for a moment.

In any other business structure, isn't not (sorry for the double negative) having your product on store shelves is usually a bad thing and means somethign is wrong? We were just going over supply and demand in my Business class before the semester ended, and my professor pointed out the Wii, so we had a convo on that. And we all know that it's very popular, but 18 months after launch and it still being hard to be found has to have some kind of effect on sales right? That's what we were debating.


Ah! DMeisterJ, my favorite.

Reread this excerpt I wrote from the opening post in this thread.

johnlucas said:

Even with all the volume they push out demand is STILL far beyond this amazing supply. Never has a game company produced this many consoles before in gaming history and STILL it is not enough.

You tend to forget that NOBODY, and The Rock means, NOBODY has EVER, EEEEEEEHH-EVER (Chris Jericho style) made this many units before for a gamesystem. Not the original Game Boy, not the Game Boy Advance, not the DS, not even the PS2 in all its record-breaking wonder.

It's making more systems than any console in history and it STILL isn't enough. Nintendo raises the production quotas to unheard of levels and it STILL isn't enough.

So that explains the 18 month run of not seeing them in stores. Nintendo simply can't produce enough...yet.

However the new fiscal year is here & production costs depreciate. I feel that Nintendo's playing coy with that 2.4 million a month number. They are going to raise that substantially. They are going into China and South Korea. They HAVE to raise it. They HAVE to raise it for the insane demand in North America. Wii Fit is going to make everything worse in this regard. The more backlog of quality titles they got the more systems they need to make to maximize sales potential for these games with the longest of legs.

You will see that 4.1 million a month eventually (as my prediction actually stated- read it again: http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=17683) and 1 million a month sales in U.S.A. alone (not counting in rest of North America) will become commonplace. Which is yet another record breaking feat.

John Lucas



Words from the Official VGChartz Idiot

WE ARE THE NATION...OF DOMINATION!

 

60 million Wii's sold by the end of 2008? I see the Wii only just getting to 40 million Wii's sold by the end of 2008.



Crazy, but possible. Nintendo should produce a lot more wiis for that to happen, tought.



Work in progress for now...

Welcome back John Lucas,to all the non believers,believe.............



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Yes it can hit 1m/month but it wont be regulary.



 

It WILL be regulary at certain point.
I'm sure of it.



Work in progress for now...

@ JL

No wonder you like Obama. You're exactly alike.

Inspirational, yet unrealistic.



Neos said:

That's a great picture. And it may have been arrogant, but it was true! There really wasn't a console "war" in the previous generation. PS2 destroyed all comers, just as you can see on the slide. And, frankly, the Wii is rapidly climbing to a position of similar dominance. I don't remember quite so much screaming and wailing on the Internet in the last generation though...

OT: We probably won't see regular Wii sales of more than a million from NPD, but it will definitely happen, and not just in the holidays. 700k in April (usually a very slow month for sales) should easily translate into 1m for a 5 week month like September. If Wii supply keeps going up without demand decreasing, this one could very well come true. (And it's a great prediction too, because it's one that we can easily track. Kudos.)



My Website

End of 2008 totals: Wii 42m, 360 24m, PS3 18.5m (made Jan. 4, 2008)

DMeisterJ said:
@ JL

No wonder you like Obama. You're exactly alike.

Inspirational, yet unrealistic.

I actually take that as a compliment, DMeisterJ.

Nobody believed Obama could get this far and most people never believe in my predictions.

The true story is always told in the end, however.

John Lucas 



Words from the Official VGChartz Idiot

WE ARE THE NATION...OF DOMINATION!