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Forums - Sales - Wii HW Predictions For the Weeks End April 26, and May 3. (Massive)

The Golden Week boost Japan will be around 50k higher. Also, the  Korean launch will add what? 40k to the others total, HUGE shipments in NA for MK/WiiFit buildup/ take attention away from GTA4(not sales, nessarily). It will be WiiFit's 1st full week on the market in Others. Well here it goes...

Week Ending May 3rd 

Japan- 90-100k
Others- 220-230k (Korea 40k on top of a WiiFit elevated 180-190k)
NA- 280-320k (if massive stock hold true)

So for the Week ending May 3rd... the Wii will be 590-650k...
If Wii flops is in Korea take 30k of top and bottom.

Also I expect this week to be

120k in NA (off week)   (but there was still a good amount of deliveries this week)
220k in Others (Korea and Wiifit)
60k in Japan (start of Golden week boost

So this weeks numbers I would put the Wii Around 400k. (others could be a bit higher if the Wii take off in Korea)



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

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thats good...but it will probably be overshadowed due to it being GTA IV launch week



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

@Darthd

yea, for gamers it will be, but not the general population (casuals, kids, old people, women, etc)



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

Does Golden Week usually boost hardware sales that much in Japan? For some reason I'm thinking it had only a modest effect on software last year, and not a whole lot on hardware. Of course, I'm probably wrong. I also think you're North American numbers are a bit too low. It's Mario Kart week, remember? Toys R' Us is already receiving unprecedented numbers for Sunday...

Edited after BigJon's correction: Yikes! I guess I was way off. I retract my statement. Thanks for the heads up. 



last year was around 50%..

I guess 80-100 would be a good range



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

Around the Network

Is VGChartz even going to be tracking Korea?



Brian ZuckerGeneral PR Manager, VGChartzbzucker@vgchartz.com

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Wow, Big Jump in Hardware for the wii on May 3rd, makes me wonder where do they get all of these supplies

@loadedstatement

ioi said its included in others in this thread



I think this will be overshadowed by the GTA IV launch of both consoles.

But if it's only going to rose fifty percent this year, why would it rise 100 percent this year?

I think Wii HW will be:

Japan - 65k
America - 200k
Others - 170k

I don't think the Wii stock this week will be that huge, it just had a really good week this week, but it could be big, if Ninty finally got their act together.

Others: Are we even tracking Korea?

Japan: Golden week will rise sales, but it won't rise like crazy, 100 percent.

I also think that GTAIV will overshadow Wii Fit in Others, and MK Wii in America, as I'm sure the pre-orders for those two games don't come near the 4 million or so (In america, per ioi) that GTAIV has among both consoles, not counting "others".



So wait, we have Nintendo increasing shipments to the U.S. for Mario Kart's debut, presumably they're increasing shipments to Europe for Wii Fit's debut, they've recently launched in South Korea, and they'll probably see a bump in Japan from Golden Week.

Where are all these Wiis coming from?!



From the stockpile. Even looking at the raw numbers compared with the overall target rate of 1.8 million units a month that they've had for a while now, it's clear that they've not put every unit made out to retail. January saw about 1.3 million units sold, February about 1.2 million, and March about 1.5 million. Those are all decidedly below 1.8 million. In fact, that leaves 1.4 million units unaccounted for from the January to March shipments. Some of those are units on shelves, of course, but that's a much larger stock of units available worldwide than is feasible for a system in short supply.



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