Around 35mil Switch 2 systems are projected to have shipped by end of March 2027. You think the Switch 2 won’t move 65mil over the following 5-7 years? That’s 9-13mil units shipped by year.

If the gen's length is standard and AI continues to screw everything up, these consoles aren't coming close to the figures you're expecting, (except the Switch 2 possibly).

But Sony is actually pretty safe as they don't need to sell you PS6's to remain dominant. Nintendo has it worse as they cannot rely on Switch 1 the way Sony can rely on PS5. But on the other hand, Sony is making sure everyone hates them and is about to kill one of their few remaining selling points against PC, and it's unclear what that means for their future.

Yeah it could be worse, we have a thread here about PS6 not even hitting 50 million, if the pricing gets that bad, that's definitely possible. 

I don't think there are 50 million households willing to pay $900-1000+ for a game console, especially in an era where exclusive games take 6-10 years+ to make. 

If Nintendo can't even make 100 mill, Sony and MS are in deep, deep shit because they are going to be even more expensive, likely significantly so. 

Xbox (not Microsoft gaming) is in deep shit regardless lol. Sony would be fine unless they start losing their PS4 and PS5 players. PS6 may be an extra piece like a midgen upgrade. Its sales performance won't necessarily be indicative of anything. Generations just aren't what they used to be.

A PS6 can sell 50 million and be seen as success if it helps sustain or grow Sony's playerbase across all their consoles. And it can be seen as a disappointment if it sells a 100 million but Sony's total playerbase is reduced by 20 million.

PS4 remained a big platform several years after PS5 launched. The PS5 may have a much longer longevity now that PS6 is too expensive and optional.