The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

Wman1996 said:

$850 million worldwide on the pessimistic side. $1 billion is more or less a lock because the first film made $1.361 billion.

Outgrossing the first film is possible, but I don't see it as the most likely outcome. Sequels can make more, but they can also make a little less to a lot less.

A third film is likely already at least in the concept stage given the crazy amount of money the first film made.

It depends on how well the first movie was received critically, how THIS one will be received critically, and the competition it is up against.

Opinions on the first Mario movie were generally positive and favorable. Go if you go to Rotten Tomatoes and Metacritic, amongst other sits, critics didn't care much for it, but the general audience loved it! And that's reflected in "The Numbers" page where it shows the movie had much stronger legs than originally projected from its opening weekend.

So word of mouth was strong with the first movie. Because of that, I think the opening weekend numbers this time around will be higher and the 2nd movie will get off to a faster start. And if the movie proves to be just as good, if not better, than the 1st film - that will help its legs and give it a solid chance of eclipsing the first film.

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