Agree, five first party games for the holiday quarter is insane. In terms of sales Pokemon will sell the most followed by The Galaxy double pack and the other three will be in the 3 to 5 million range.

I wonder how the Galaxy sales will be recorded, will they split them up with the physical double pack counting as a sale for each because digitally they can be bought separately. 

Depends how they record Galaxy sales, if Galaxy 2 is recorded separately then it could break 10 million.

Heh. This end of the year reminds me to 2007's. Mario Galaxy and Metroid Prime. Such a killer combo...

To me it's a great end of the year lineup. It's got the biggest Nintendo names. There's at least something for everybody.

watch MP2 and 3 get remastered shadow dropped on launch day for MP4

Wouldn't call that a megaton though as it's two games that are 18 and 15 years old, not something that's going to set the charts aflame or move hardware.

First off, I don’t think this is a “make it or break it” holiday for Switch 2. I think there could be a drought and Switch 2 would still have a great holiday as the Switch 1 install base continues to migrate to the platform.

Which is partly why I’m just really happy that Metroid Prime 4 is getting a holiday window release. It’s one of the big titles for Nintendo at the end of the year and it’s going to get a lot of eyes on it. While it may not be “make it or break it” for the Switch 2, it is absolutely that for Metroid Prime. I need to see it hit at least 4 million and preferably 5 million and I think it’s positioned to do so, assuming it reviews in the low 90s.

For me personally? Put it this way: I went from tracking down a Switch 2 to play Metroid Prime 4 (my favorite Nintendo IP) to now giving it away to a family member for Christmas. Nintendo is still great and still makes objectively great games, but it's clear from their recent development choices that the company of my youth is no longer targeting me... sadly.

Hyrule Warriors - AA game - don't care as the 'Warriors' genre just feels like mindless action to me

Kirby's Air Riders - A/AA game - don't care but looks like it might be a decently fun racer

Pokemon Z-A - AA/AAA game - just looks boring and uninteresting for a pokemon game, which is why I call it AA/AAA game instead of just AAA game. The first Legends game gave off a much better feeling than this one

Galaxy 1 + 2 - 2xAAA games - fantastic, but Galaxy 2 should have just been included in 3D All-Stars which should have not been a limited release. This is just finally releasing the strangely omitted game from that compilation and way overcharging for it. I'll probably pick up Galaxy 2 on Switch as a standalone just because it is the best Wii game, but I'll feel like I'm overpaying by like $15

Metroid Prime 4 - AAA game - obviously the game many people have been waiting for for yearssss. Looks awesome. I'll pick it up at some point on Switch, but honestly I'd rather get to play through Prime 2 and Prime 3 beforehand so I dunno, might get this in December or might wait a few years.

Verdict:

Overall pretty weak. No huge megaton game for Switch 2's first holiday is a bad look.

Hyrule Warriors and Kirby's Air Riders are nice games but nothing "wow holiday!" worth. Pokemon Z-A looks like the least interesting entry in the series in a long time. Ostensibly Pokemon is obviously supposed to be the big high selling game, and I'm sure, especially being cross-gen, it'll easily sell 10+ million, but it's weak and as the first 'next-gen' pokemon which is actually just a last-gen pokemon that is coming out late and doesn't look exciting at all that's a real bad look for the first pokemon game available on Switch 2. Galaxy pack and Prime 4 are the great games, but one is overpriced and just Wii ports, while the other looks fantastic but is a niche game and not gonna be a huge holiday seller.

Nintendo should have been smarter - released a new 3D Mario at launch (literally the most obvious thing in the world they should have done), and saved DK Bananza as the big next gen holiday release. Still no good reason to pick up a Switch 2 other than trying out open world Mario Kart. Switch2's first year is an extremely different reality than the Switch's first year in 2017 with that stellar lineup of BotW, Splat2, XenoBlade2, Mario+Rabbids, MK8D, Odyssey, and more. This feels like an extremely slow start in comparison.

Pretty darn good! I plan to buy four of those five games.

Even if we remove SMG 1 & 2 from the equation -- which I think we should, since it's just a remastered compilation -- the end-of-year lineup for Switch 2 is impressive. 

• Pokemon Legends: Z-A -- not on my wishlist
• Hyrule Warriors: Age of Imprisonment -- I'm excited for this one. I love me some co-op Warriors gameplay with Zelda flavoring
• Kirby Air Riders -- I wasn't paying attention to this until Sakurai's presentation. Now I need it.
• Metroid Prime 4: Beyond -- While the trailers have been underwhelming to say the least, I trust in Nintendo, Retro, and the power of the Metroid IP

You could also add in a few upcoming non-first-party Switch 2 console exclusives:

• Hades II
• The Touryst: Deluxe
• Disgaea 7 Complete
• Majogami
• Glaciered
• Professor Layton and the New World of Steam

Four months in and I already have a Switch 2 backlog. It looks like it's going to get worse before it gets better :P

For me its fantastic.
Galaxy 2 is one of my all time favourites. To finally have it playable on Switch/2 is a huge deal for me.
Hyrule Warriors series has been incredible so far. The original is an all time great; probably the most hours I've put into a single game; and Age of Calamity I loved more than BotW. Age of Imprisonment is my most anticipated game.
Metroid Prime 4 also looks incredible and possible GOTY contender, I really just wish that 2 and 3 were available as I missed out on those entries.

If I had the money and time, Pokemon and Kirby both look like a lot of fun as well. Its a very diverse lineup I'd say just from a 1st party perspective. There are also quite a few third party games that look amazing.