BasilZero said:
But if they did that, we probably wont have another direct until next year (Assuming we get another one in the next 3 months). |
3 months would be December. Considering they've splurged their load to about early spring, I say we're not getting another one until End of January or February.
Aside from game specific Direct of course.
Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909
| Mar1217 said: 3 months would be December. Considering they've splurged their load to about early spring, I say we're not getting another one until End of January or February. Aside from game specific Direct of course. |
Sadness, and I'm guessing the rumored October direct will likely be the Kirby Air Riders one that they mentioned yesterday.
BasilZero said:
Sadness, and I'm guessing the rumored October direct will likely be the Kirby Air Riders one that they mentioned yesterday. |
Heh, it'll come back to greet us as usual on the next occasion.
In the meantime, we game !
Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909
Farsala said:
I am talking sales potential here, IE: 10m+ in one FY. Mario Kart fits the bill but no 3D Mario, splatoonn, smash, Zelda, AC. Their FY Forecast for s2 makes sense, keeping that in mind. |
You think Nintendo makes their sales forecasts based on the specific number of games that sell over 10 million rather than basing it on the overall library, release schedule, price, production capacity, market conditions (tariffs), etc?
You’re also acting like 15 million is some mediocre number for a console’s first 4 quarters.
First 4 quarters, first 5 quarters
Wii-13.17m, 20.13m
PS4-13.5m, 19.9m
NSW-14.86m, 17.79m
PS5-13.4m, 17.3m
I included 5th quarter because different launch dates mean some of those consoles didn’t have their first post-launch holiday season yet.
It’s also pretty clear that Switch 2 has no problem with demand and whether or not Nintendo exceeds their 15 million goal is dependent on how many they can produce and ship over the holiday season.
Most likely, we will see total shipments over 8 million at the report for the quarter ending Sept 30, in which case they will adjust their forecast to something like 16.5 million and possibly exceed that as well.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
zorg1000 said:
You think Nintendo makes their sales forecasts based on the specific number of games that sell over 10 million rather than basing it on the overall library, release schedule, price, production capacity, market conditions (tariffs), etc? You’re also acting like 15 million is some mediocre number for a console’s first 4 quarters. First 4 quarters, first 5 quarters Wii-13.17m, 20.13m PS4-13.5m, 19.9m NSW-14.86m, 17.79m PS5-13.4m, 17.3m
It’s also pretty clear that Switch 2 has no problem with demand and whether or not Nintendo exceeds their 15 million goal is dependent on how many they can produce and ship over the holiday season. Most likely, we will see total shipments over 8 million at the report for the quarter ending Sept 30, in which case they will adjust their forecast to something like 16.5 million and possibly exceed that as well. |
Of course they predict on the overall picture, but 10m+ games will have a lot more impact on those predictions, especially in the early stages. Imagine if Nintendo didn't release MK World, just one game missing would be a huge impact imo.
15m is mediocre only in the context of the Switch. Doing about the same as Switch is maybe expected, but everyone wants Nintendo to shoot for more.
Something tells me that Nintendo doesn't want another Metroid Prime 4, Tears of the Kingdom, and Bayonetta 3 situation going forward lol.
Throughout the Switch gen, quite a few "show stopping" announcements that made people online freak, were games that didn't end up releasing for years. Not a bad thing to have that kind of announcement every so often as I lowkey love those kinds of bombshells but seems like Nintendo will prefer to mitigate those kinds of announcements going forward.
You called down the thunder, now reap the whirlwind
Farsala said:
Of course they predict on the overall picture, but 10m+ games will have a lot more impact on those predictions, especially in the early stages. Imagine if Nintendo didn't release MK World, just one game missing would be a huge impact imo. 15m is mediocre only in the context of the Switch. Doing about the same as Switch is maybe expected, but everyone wants Nintendo to shoot for more. |
DK is for sure a 10+ million seller and despite being cross-gen, Pokemon is a big deal.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
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