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Forums - Sales - UPDATE: Will the Switch 2 Have Legs?

 

How Many Units Will the Switch 2 Sell Worldwide in its Lifetime?

Under 75 million (Won't have legs) 0 0%
 
75–100 million (3DS 2.0) 0 0%
 
100–120 million (Wii to Gameboy levels) 2 11.11%
 
120–140 million (#3 Nintendo system) 10 55.56%
 
140–150 million (True Switch 2.0) 2 11.11%
 
150–165 million (IT PRINTS MONEY!!!) 2 11.11%
 
165 million+ (PS2 who?) 2 11.11%
 
Total:18
160rmf on 02 April 2025
curl-6 said:

Currently there's no evidence at all for a DS to 3DS drop.

I think Nintendo will be more ambitious for the next generation:

More flagship titles (consequence of the raise in Studios and employees)

Improved AAA 3rd party support 

Fluid marketing campaign: Thematic Park expansion, Movies, etc...

If anything, PS1 to PS2 raise looks doable (not the exact amount of units but a raise in numbers of a successful platform to its succesor)

Last edited by 160rmf - on 02 April 2025

 

 

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xl-klaudkil on 02 April 2025
CGI-Quality said:
xl-klaudkil said:

Not sure if it can reach switch/ps1 levels.
But its 100% a 100mill

If it reaches 100 mill, it's already at PS1 levels

My predication? Not quite the PS2 and definitely not another Wii U failure. I'm thinking less than the Switch, but about a PS4-esque range of 115-120m.

I ment ps2 levels,sorry.



 

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Olivernintentoal on 02 April 2025

New post-direct poll is up! Feel free to sound off with what you liked/didn't like in the direct.



Playing Xenoblade 2 before I buy Xenoblade 3 (otherwise I couldn't wait to play 3).

Can they announce a new Fire Emblem? A remake of Genealogy or Tellius would suffice !

Torpoleon on 02 April 2025

I would say between 120-140m, with the potential to go a hair above 140m even. Solid Direct (and it definitely feels obvious they'll have another Direct probably around their usual September time slot to cover holiday games). It's price where I expected, and the Mario Kart bundle can only help it (especially since it appears MKW will be as much as $80!). They have a solid slate of releases, and I can only imagine more will be announced soon too.



Olivernintentoal on 02 April 2025
Torpoleon said:

I would say between 120-140m, with the potential to go a hair above 140m even. Solid Direct (and it definitely feels obvious they'll have another Direct probably around their usual September time slot to cover holiday games). It's price where I expected, and the Mario Kart bundle can only help it (especially since it appears MKW will be as much as $80!). They have a solid slate of releases, and I can only imagine more will be announced soon too.

Wow, $80 is steep! I figured they'd go to $70, but why $80? Yes, that's a good point. MKW did look pretty amazing! I love driving to the next track being part of the race. 

It's cool that Metroid Prime 4 will have higher frame rate and resolution modes, but it doesn't feel like it was developed with Switch 2 power in mind. The visuals are great for Switch 1, but didn't seem any different (aside for the frame rate/resolution) for Switch 2.



Playing Xenoblade 2 before I buy Xenoblade 3 (otherwise I couldn't wait to play 3).

Can they announce a new Fire Emblem? A remake of Genealogy or Tellius would suffice !

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Torpoleon on 02 April 2025

@Olivernintentoal Probably just figuring out how much they can get away with lol. People are blaming tariffs, but we should really be blaming ourselves. TOTK was bumped up to $70 when it released in 2023, and that game sold 10m in its first week and over 20m lifetime.



Wman1996 on 02 April 2025

I know the system isn't even out yet, but I am now skeptical Switch 2 can sell 20 million units from June 5 until its first birthday June 5 next year.
That's an average of 1.666 million units a month, and over 416,666 a week.
June, November, and December 2025 will be huge. The other months? I'm more pessimistic.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)

Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

Random_Matt on 02 April 2025

100 million and no more. Personally, I think I am being generous. You never know; this maybe a Nintendo PS3 moment.



Soundwave on 02 April 2025

Just a friendly reminder that in today's dollars, the PS3 would be $950 (inflation factored in).

$450 for a Switch 2 isn't that outrageous. $450-$500 isn't child friendly perhaps, but times change, Nintendo's audience is primarily adults with a lot more disposable income. 



sc94597 on 02 April 2025
Soundwave said:

Just a friendly reminder that in today's dollars, the PS3 would be $950 (inflation factored in).

$450 for a Switch 2 isn't that outrageous. $450-$500 isn't child friendly perhaps, but times change, Nintendo's audience is primarily adults with a lot more disposable income. 

Yeah, people are forgetting about inflation. I posted this last September. 

Multiply those numbers by 1.03 and you'll get roughly June 2025 prices. That'd put the original Switch at $398. 

And I think Nintendo went a bit better on the R&D this round, providing a much more polished product than in their past three iterations. 

We're looking at a Switch 2 that is 13% more expensive than the Switch 1 and 7% more expensive than the Wii U base model (Switch 2 is, cheaper than, roughly 90% of the price of the Wii U deluxe model.)