The prices in Japan haven't moved in any significant way since the initial MRSP was announced. The inflation of last years and Yen depreciation to USD hasn't changed that. No reason to believe they would suddenly partake in the same strategy as Sony and Microsoft, albeit I do think at a slighter difference in price, but they are not gonna forsake one of their top market to get an equivalent exchange rate in this economy.

$399.99

I asked about the two SKU part but for what you said there's a difference between them not increasing the price of a console that launched a few years before those issues occurred and launching a completely new console in this new environment. Unless they're fine with selling it at either a loss or a tiny profit in Japan the increase there will need to be significant. I don't think they'll go wild with it but with the current exchange rate they'd need to price it at 55k yen to nearly match it in dollars so even 50k Yen would still make it relatively cheap there unless the Yen improves enough by Spring next year.

Consoles aren't getting cheaper to produce . PS4 and Switch are still $300 after 7 or 8 years so I'm sure Switch 2 will be at least $400. Wouldn't surprise me if it's $500

I think the opposite. In USA and Europe Nintendo have strong competition so they need good pricing if they want to keep their position as the market leader 

But in Japan everyone just plays Nintendo or mobile games. They can rise the prices and still rule the market comfortably

I did a poll last year and the most popular answer was 399. flow by 349. Maybe i should reset that poll.

Here: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/247608/predict-the-price-for-switch-2/14/#8

$399 tracks with where Nintendo's priced their consoles for the last five generations. 

Man the Gamecube was such a good deal. Did not take it to long to sell for 99$ either. Power per dollar for a console has probably never been higher. 

That's pretty much my thought, at least 400 and up to 500, probably 450-480. If it's outside of the 4-500 range, colour me surprised.

As a note. The 299 Wii U was the Basic Model, only a few were ever released and it ceased production a few months after launch. The Wii U was effectively 350 USD.