It was a excellent opening actually. Thanks to lack of PS5 stock Xbox Series S sold a lot. People even thought this was going to be a more competitive generation 

Sony reported 30% of PS5 owners are new to Playstation. I think they a fair share must be Xbox crowd: https://www.gamesradar.com/almost-a-third-of-ps5-owners-skipped-the-ps4-generation-sony-says/

Xbox userbase is migrating to PC, it's a very straightforward step. For PS4 owners it's not so easy because you lose access to your PS4 backlog going for PC

Sony is also losing a lot of players to PC this generation, but Xbox players are likely making up for the users they are losing 

This generation will see a drop in console sales. PS5 will decrease 10-15 million compared to PS4 (even with a longer generation), Xbox will decline ~10 million too I think

I'd usually be able to say my friends and I are part of those sales, but this gen is the first time that none of us have bought in yet. Usually we would've moved on by now, but due to the pricing as well as lack of new enticing PS5 only games, we've remained on PS4. Based on PS5 Slim and Pro pricing, as well as lack of near future games, it's looking like we'll all probably be waiting yet another year. It's not because we can't afford it either. 

Most of the reason PS5 is neck and neck with PS4 is because of new customers and migrating (XB) gamers. When PS5 finally gets an official price cut, or steadily launches some worthy PS5 only blockbusters, sales are going to surge again because that's when PS4 owners will start to move on, en masse.

https://www.gamesindustry.biz/european-video-game-sales-jumped-12-in-october-on-the-back-of-blockbuster-launches-european-monthly-charts

-49% over the -52% the year before.

-29% in the USA this November. There's no way it hits 40 million now.

That's YOY right?

At the 4 year mark, in its strongest territory, definitely not a good sign.

I feel like MS is basically quiet quitting consoles; they've given up making any effort to turn XBS around. That said, they're still inching forwards at a snail's pace, so I can still see them crawling to 40m in time.

Content removed.

I expect 100 million Xboxes will be sold within the first week after the launch of GTA VI. Then another 100 million will be sold over the 2025 holiday season, and the Xbox Series consoles will go down as the best selling consoles in history.

Bookmark this prediction so you can come back and tell me I'm a genius in a couple of years.

This will be the worst selling console for Microsoft since the OG Xbox.

Still sold better than OG Xbox though which is strange because OG was far more deserving of it's sales. Halo 1/2, Fable, Ninja Gaiden, Xbox live. OG had things going for it. Can't think of any exclusive AAA banger XBS consoles have. 

It's partly because OG Xbox had a short generation (launched 20 months after PS2 and ended a year before PS3 launched). Gaming was also much smaller and Xbox was a new brand. Another advantage Series X/S has is a bigger and better overall library when multiplats are accounted for.

Exclusivity across the board is so much weaker now than the old days, with Series X/S obviously having it worse than other platforms since it has zero exclusives or even timed exclusives.