Here is the last 5 weeks. Each has an increased over the week before.

I'm a little skeptical, but ok.

This gen will likely be longer than last due to the impacts of covid on its opening years, dev cycles growing longer, and games getting more expensive to make. MS (and Sony) will want to recoup their investment before moving on to the next system, and as long as Xbox Series is their main console, there's a decent chance they'll continue to ship to Japan.

Manufacturer wishes for gen duration are meaningless. Gens start and finish based on SW sales, when SW growth goes from the peak and decrease you may be sure gen will end soon and if they plummet well it have ended even if no new console have been released.

Similar wise even if a console maker keep making and shipping consoles for 15 years customers buying decides the relevance, so after a point 1 or 10 years more in the market may not make any sensible difference on LT sales.

Consumers aren't going to stop buying consoles and games if the gen lasts an extra year; based on the MS leak 2028 is their target for the 10th gen, and systems usually aren't discontinued immediately after replacement, so conservatively speaking MS has til roughly 2029 or another 6 years to ship another 500k to Japan, which is entirely possible even at their slow pace.

I'm still looking for PS5 predictions for this week's Famitsu charts!

My guess is 106k.

Customers stopped buying X1 and its games long before they had even announced series, PS3/PS4 also had much shorter legs than PS2. Again customers will reduce their purchase at some point and that defines when the next gen will kick in not the wishes and projections of the manufacturers.

But that didn't make MS release the Xbox Series sooner. Companies have a planned timetable for these things years in advance, they don't watch weekly sales and go "okay we're losing sales, release the next one now." MS especially won't want to release much before the PS6 so that they don't get leapfrogged in technology.

I am quite the pessimist and feel sony squandered their chance to sell a lot of ps5s in the past few weeks. This week I think around 84k is the amount for Ps5, and in the coming weeks the average will be around 60k.

The way I see it, those who missed out or held out for the last few weeks will still get one once stock comes back in, so those sales weren't lost but just postponed.