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DonFerrari said:
curl-6 said:

This gen will likely be longer than last due to the impacts of covid on its opening years, dev cycles growing longer, and games getting more expensive to make. MS (and Sony) will want to recoup their investment before moving on to the next system, and as long as Xbox Series is their main console, there's a decent chance they'll continue to ship to Japan.

Manufacturer wishes for gen duration are meaningless. Gens start and finish based on SW sales, when SW growth goes from the peak and decrease you may be sure gen will end soon and if they plummet well it have ended even if no new console have been released.

Similar wise even if a console maker keep making and shipping consoles for 15 years customers buying decides the relevance, so after a point 1 or 10 years more in the market may not make any sensible difference on LT sales.

Consumers aren't going to stop buying consoles and games if the gen lasts an extra year; based on the MS leak 2028 is their target for the 10th gen, and systems usually aren't discontinued immediately after replacement, so conservatively speaking MS has til roughly 2029 or another 6 years to ship another 500k to Japan, which is entirely possible even at their slow pace.