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Forums - Sales Discussion - Clash of the October 20th titans: Which will sell more, Mario Wonder or Spiderman 2?

 

Which will sell more?

Super Mario Bros Wonder 126 84.56%
 
Spiderman 2 23 15.44%
 
Total:149
pikashoe on 15 November 2023
zeldaring said:
pikashoe said:

You do realise that anywhere from 25-50% of mario wonders sales aren't included here due to digital sales not being counted for nintendo and this counts dollar sales not the number of units sold. 

Yes I do but it's probably more like 20% since spiderman 2 was beating mario wonder by 700k in 10 days vs 14 and thats with mario wonder havinga huge lead in japan, but even more telling is how close switch and xbox are in units. ps5 is gonna be a huge seller and spiderman 2 is bundled, it's gonna be a easy win. switch is on it's way out.

20% would be a ridiculously low digital ratio considering digital has become more and more popular over the years. I think you misinterpreted those sales they were both for the first 10 days I'm pretty sure. Nintendo said 2 weeks as in launch week being friday to Sunday for week 1 and the first full week being week 2. I'm still not certain about which will win out in the end both have advantages and disadvantages but I think it will be closer than many think.



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peachbuggy on 15 November 2023

It will be fun to revisit this thread in 3 or so months time.



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

Soundwave on 15 November 2023

There's a lot of investment chatter that Disney is under a lot of pressure to bring their video game IP back under house, wonder what happens if Disney decides to take the Spider-Man IP back and make it multi-plat.



zeldaring on 15 November 2023
peachbuggy said:

It will be fun to revisit this thread in 3 or so months time.

It will be. you gonna have to put some respect on my name.



Mar1217 on 15 November 2023
zeldaring said:
peachbuggy said:

It will be fun to revisit this thread in 3 or so months time.

It will be. you gonna have to put some respect on my name.

This kind of reaction is exactly why, be right or be wrong, you will receive none. 

Still, like I said previously, this is a matter that needs waiting for more solid data.

I mean the NPD sales account for dollar sales and from early info we've had, Spidey 2 has performed better than Mario Wonder on launch ... But Nintendo doesn't disclose its digital to NPD and we are looking at other's country like Europe in the moment where Mario Wonder is leading the physical chart boards after that initial week. 

Could definitely mean that Super Mario Wonder is gaining ground on the early advantage of Spiderman.

Anywoo, this is nicely going with my prediction where both games are gonna follow themselves closely. One through the heavily promoted bundle it'll receive during this holiday, the other a straight strong IP in the holiday period.



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peachbuggy on 15 November 2023
zeldaring said:
peachbuggy said:

It will be fun to revisit this thread in 3 or so months time.

It will be. you gonna have to put some respect on my name.

Oh, this sort of response will make it even more fun! 

I'm afraid it is going to be vice versa and unfortunately you are going to be putting respect on much more users' names :D



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

masschamber on 16 November 2023
zeldaring said:
peachbuggy said:

It will be fun to revisit this thread in 3 or so months time.

It will be. you gonna have to put some respect on my name.

spiderman is already a 16% more expensive, npd tracks dollar sales, not units, 

considering that spiderman 2 had a 230 dollar collector's edition, so those really helped boost spiderman's dollar sales

plus spiderman is already down to number 13 on amazon's top video game sellers while mario still hangs are the top 3



I HAVE A DOUBLE DRAGON CAB IN MY KITCHEN!!!!!!

NOW A PUNISHER CAB!!!!!!!!!!!!!

zeldaring on 16 November 2023
masschamber said:
zeldaring said:

It will be. you gonna have to put some respect on my name.

spiderman is already a 16% more expensive, npd tracks dollar sales, not units, 

considering that spiderman 2 had a 230 dollar collector's edition, so those really helped boost spiderman's dollar sales

plus spiderman is already down to number 13 on amazon's top video game sellers while mario still hangs are the top 3

Npd didn't count the spiderman man bundle and spiderman is already forth best selling game of the year vs mario wonder at 21 with out digital 



DonFerrari on 16 November 2023
zeldaring said:
CosmicSex said:

NPD is out and Spiderman crushed Mario with Wonder coming in at 21st for the year. There is a huge caveat though as Nintendo doesn't publish digital sales. Because of Nintendo's insistence on hiding digital sales, this means we can only depend on official numbers to see if Mario can catch Spiderman...

My analysis was spot on and with spiderman 2 being bundled and switch in decline it's gonna be a easy win for spiderman 2. 

Circana didn't count SM2 bundles as Sales, so it is 4# on YTD with only 8 days tracking, single platform and bundles not accounted.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

DonFerrari on 16 November 2023
Lucas-Rio said:

Mario Wonder sales are disappointing to say the least. I know it will have better legs than Spiderman 2and will sell better in November en December. This isn't the question.

I thought that Mario Wonder would sell at least 20 millions easily and now it looks very unlikely with the Switch being near the end , the legs can not be that big.

How can it be disappointing when it is the biggest opening of a Mario 2D ever? It at most can be not as high as you expected or wanted, but then your expectations were to high.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."