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Forums - Sales Discussion - March 2023 VGChartz Estimates Thread - Worldwide Estimates Out Now

Alex_The_Hedgehog said:
trunkswd said:

There were a lot of small platforms added to the Platform Totals page by @Machina that he found while doing research. He got this idea to see what else there is after it was announced the Playdate handheld sold 53,142 units in its first year. 

https://www.vgchartz.com/charts/platform_totals/Hardware.php/

So many platforms. You know, it's crazy how we had over 80 systems, but most players only heard about a bunch of them.

I have no idea what most of them even are. Machina did great work in his research. If Valve ever releases Steam Deck sales that will definitely be added to the list.

I should add I do own a Neo Geo Pocket Color, which the available data shows it only sold 130K units. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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Link to VGChartz article here.

PS5 vs Xbox Series X|S vs Switch 2023 Americas Sales Comparison Charts Through March

Here we see data representing the sales through to consumers and change in sales performance of the three current platforms (PlayStation 5, Xbox Series X|S, and Nintendo Switch) and two legacy platforms (PlayStation 4 and Xbox One) over comparable periods for 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023. Also shown is the market share for each of the consoles over the same periods.

Year to Date Sales Comparison (Same Periods Covered)

Market Share (Same Periods Covered)

2020 – (January 2020 to March 2020)

2021 – (January 2021 to March 2021)

2022 – (January 2022 to March 2022)

2023 – (January 2023 to March 2023)

"Year to date" sales for 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023 sales are shown in series at the top of the table and then just below a comparison of 2023 versus 2022 and 2023 versus 2021 is displayed.  This provides an easy-to-view summary of all the data.

Total Sales and Market Share for Each Year

Microsoft

  • Xbox Series X|S
    • 0.97 million units sold year-to-date
    • Down year-on-year 335,228 units (-25.7%)

Nintendo

  • Nintendo Switch
    • 1.08 million units sold year-to-date
    • Down year-on-year 360,907 units (-25.1%)

Sony

  • PlayStation 5
    • 1.98 million units sold year-to-date
    • Up year-on-year 1,072,623 units (117.8%)
  • PlayStation 4
    • 0.01 million units sold year-to-date
    • Down year-on-year 58,229 (-85.4%)


VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

Link to VGChartz article here.

PS5 Sells Over 2M, NS and XS Sales Drop - Worldwide Hardware Estimates for March 2023

The PlayStation 5 was the best-selling console worldwide with 2,012,787 units sold for March 2023, according to VGChartz estimates. The PlayStation 5 has now sold an estimated 35.80 million units lifetime worldwide.

The Nintendo Switch sold an estimated 1,135,507 units to bring its lifetime sales to 123.91 million units. The Xbox Series X|S sold 556,014 units to bring their lifetime sales to 21.35 million units. The PlayStation 4 sold an estimated 19,482 units to bring its lifetime sales to 117.02 million units.

PS5 sales compared to the same month for the PS4 in 2016 are up by over 927,000 units, while the Xbox Series X|S compared to the same month for the Xbox One are up by nearly 86,000 units. PS4 sold 1,085,421 units for the month of March 2016 and Xbox One sales were at 470,161 units.

PlayStation 5 sales compared to the same month a year ago are up by 1,285,713 (+176.8%). Nintendo Switch sales are down by 450,340 units (-28.4%) and Xbox Series X|S sales are down by 343,537 units (-38.2%). The PlayStation 4 is down 25,350 units (-56.5%) year-over-year.

Looking at sales month-on-month, the PlayStation 5 sales are up by nearly 74,000 units, Xbox Series X|S sales are up by nearly 35,000 units, and Nintendo Switch sales are up by nearly 197,000 units. It should be noted March is a five week month, while February is a four week month.

2023 year-to-date, the PlayStation 5 has sold an estimated 5.28 million units, the Nintendo Switch has sold 3.21 million units, and the Xbox Series X|S has sold 1.52 million units.

Check out the breakdown of the Americas sales here, the Europe sales here, and the Japan sales here.

Monthly Sales:

Global hardware estimates for March 2023 (Followed by lifetime sales):

  1. PlayStation 5 - 2,012,787 (35,804,643)
  2. Switch - 1,135,507 (123,911,268)
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 556,014 (21,351,543)
  4. PlayStation 4 - 19,482 (117,020,546)
Americas (US, Canada, Latin America) hardware estimates for March 2023:
  1. PlayStation 5 - 811,288
  2. Switch - 392,078
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 367,728
  4. PlayStation 4 - 3,666
Europe hardware estimates for March 2023:
  1. PlayStation 5 - 597,455
  2. Switch - 273,576
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 133,983
  4. PlayStation 4 - 5,506
Asia (Japan, mainland Asia, Middle East) hardware estimates for March 2023:
  1. PlayStation 5 - 532,201
  2. Switch - 435,010
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 21,639
  4. PlayStation 4 - 10,027
Oceania (Australia and New Zealand) hardware estimates for March 2023:
  1. PlayStation 5 - 71,843
  2. Switch - 34,843
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 32,664
  4. PlayStation 4 - 283

Weekly Sales:

Global March 4, 2023 hardware estimates:

  1. PlayStation 5 - 436,317
  2. Switch - 233,178
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 98,649
  4. PlayStation 4 - 4,904

Global March 11, 2023 hardware estimates:

  1. PlayStation 5 - 410,774
  2. Switch - 222,565
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 106,497
  4. PlayStation 4 - 3,874

Global March 18, 2023 hardware estimates:

  1. PlayStation 5 - 378,024
  2. Switch - 219,528
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 103,072
  4. PlayStation 4 - 3,242

Global March 25, 2023 hardware estimates:

  1. PlayStation 5 - 417,803
  2. Switch - 224,084
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 128,869
  4. PlayStation 4 - 3,758

Global April 1, 2023 hardware estimates:

  1. PlayStation 5 - 369,869
  2. Switch - 236,152
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 118,927
  4. PlayStation 4 - 3,704

VGChartz Methodology: Hardware estimates are based on retail sampling and trends in individual countries, which are then extrapolated to represent the wider region. This typically allows us to produce figures that end up being within 10% of the actual totals.

This data is regularly compared against official shipment figures released by the console manufacturers and figures estimated by regional trackers with greater market coverage than ourselves. We then update our own estimates to bring them into line with those figures. This can result in frequent changes often within a short space of time, but we feel it's important to prioritise accuracy over consistency.

Note that our estimates are based on sell-through data (units sold to consumers). In almost all cases the figures released by console manufacturers are based on shipment data (sell-in), where as soon as a device has left the factory and entered the supply chain for delivery it is considered a sale. This is why there is always a difference between the companies’ figures (sell-in) and VGChartz estimates (sell-through), even after we’ve made adjustments. The one exception to that is when a console has been discontinued and the remaining stock has finally sold out – at that point the figures will match.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

Wow, just wow. 4:1 ratio.

Last edited by Panicradio - on 20 April 2023

Absurd PS5 sales. The gap between PS5 and PS4 launch aligned has already dropped by 2.4m with the first 3 months of the year. If the PS5 managed to average 1.3m sales a month from now on it would pass PS4 by the end of August.

After 3 months PS5 this year has sold 1.3m more than the PS4 sold in it's peak year.

A 38% drop for a console in a year it should be healthily growing towards a peak year is painful. Xbox Series has sold 0.5m less so far than it had last year.



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Zippy6 said:

Absurd PS5 sales. The gap between PS5 and PS4 launch aligned has already dropped by 2.4m with the first 3 months of the year. If the PS5 managed to average 1.3m sales a month from now on it would pass PS4 by the end of August.

After 3 months PS5 this year has sold 1.3m more than the PS4 sold in it's peak year.

A 38% drop for a console in a year it should be healthily growing towards a peak year is painful. Xbox Series has sold 0.5m less so far than it had last year.

J believe it was reported that the PS5 has passed aligned sales of PS4 already in NA (according to the Artist formally known as NPD).  It has also done so in Japan.  Sony's FY end reports will be very interesting for sure.



CosmicSex said:
Zippy6 said:

Absurd PS5 sales. The gap between PS5 and PS4 launch aligned has already dropped by 2.4m with the first 3 months of the year. If the PS5 managed to average 1.3m sales a month from now on it would pass PS4 by the end of August.

After 3 months PS5 this year has sold 1.3m more than the PS4 sold in it's peak year.

A 38% drop for a console in a year it should be healthily growing towards a peak year is painful. Xbox Series has sold 0.5m less so far than it had last year.

J believe it was reported that the PS5 has passed aligned sales of PS4 already in NA (according to the Artist formally known as NPD).  It has also done so in Japan.  Sony's FY end reports will be very interesting for sure.

PS5 is ahead of PS4 in the Americas and Japan. But it is still behind by a decent amount in Europe. When there were the shortages Sony put far more focus on shipping PS5s to the US then Europe. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

So FY 4th Quarter sales estimates by Vgchartz are

PS5: 5.40 million
NSW: 3.21 million
XBS: 1.52 million

If the numbers are accurate which they usually are then astronomically high for PS5, very good for Switch and an absolute disaster for Xbox Series.



ShadowLink93 said:

So FY 4th Quarter sales estimates by Vgchartz are

PS5: 5.40 million
NSW: 3.21 million
XBS: 1.52 million

If the numbers are accurate which they usually are then astronomically high for PS5, very good for Switch and an absolute disaster for Xbox Series.

5.28m for PS5 I think, but yeah still very very high sales. The 6.2m shipments they forecast is obtainable, that would be 920k more shipped than sold-through. Though still a bit strange to ship more than sold when there was already around 2m gap between sell-through and shipments at the end of december iirc.

Shipments above 6.08m would be a new record, the highest amount shipped by any console in FYQ4. Currently held by the PS2.



Wow so the PS5 now joins the small number of consoles to have a 2m month outside of the holidays. The PS4 never did that so it's a big deal and it sold almost as much as it did December 2021 which shows both how insane it is and how bad stock was back then. I do expect the PS5 to peak a year earlier than the PS4 due to 2023 going nuts from pent up demand but this performance still confirms that Sony has another 100m+ seller on their hands and that by the end of this year it'll either have overtaken or be close behind its predecessor launch aligned.

Xbox Series being down so much is awful but it's still doing better than the Xbox One did so it's not outright disastrous. The combination of awful PS5 stock benefiting the Series S last year, the terrible release schedule and the Series X still apparently having some stock issues is having a real impact right now in terms of YoY but I do think it'll pick up at least somewhat the 2nd half of the year.

And Switch is right where I expect it to be overall and is on pace for 14-15m for a very good year considering its age. Considering the significant decline Nintendo should start teasing the successor soon though.

Overall the PS5 was the clear star the first quarter of this year and that'll remain the case for a while.