Since no on else has posted this weeks famitsu sales, from Gematsu:

Famitsu has published its estimated physical game software and hardware sales data for Japan for the week of November 14, 2022 to November 20, 2022.

Pokemon Scarlet and Pokemon Violet for Switch were the highest selling new game releases of the week, opening at a combined 2,537,292 retail copies sold.

The PlayStation 4 version of Monochrome Mobius: Rights and Wrongs Forgotten was the second highest selling new release of the week, opening at 9,066 retail copies sold.On the hardware side, the Switch family sold a massive 170,693 units, the PlayStation 5 family sold 32,749 units, the PlayStation 4 family sold 5,803 units, and the Xbox Series family sold 1527 units. PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series consoles continue to face stock issues.

Software Sales (followed by lifetime sales)

00./00. [NSW] Pokemon Scarlet / Violet (+ Nintendo eShop Download Version) (Pokemon Co.) {2022.11.18} (¥5.980) - 4.050.000 / NEW

Famitsu Sales: Week 47, 2022 (Nov 14 - Nov 20)

01./00. [NSW] Pokemon Scarlet / Violet # (Pokemon Co.) {2022.11.18} (¥5.980) - 2.537.292 / NEW
02./01. [NSW] Splatoon 3 (Nintendo) {2022.09.09} (¥5.980) - 36.958 / 3.368.155 (-16%)
03./03. [PS5] God of War: Ragnarok # (Sony Interactive Entertainment) {2022.11.09} (¥7.900) - 9.901 / 39.278 (-66%)
04./00. [PS4] Monochrome Mobius: Rights and Wrongs Forgotten # (Aqua Plus) {2022.11.17} (¥7.800) - 9.066 / NEW
05./02. [NSW] Tactics Ogre: Reborn (Square Enix) {2022.11.11} (¥4.982) - 7.687 / 44.470 (-79%)
06./11. [NSW] Minecraft # (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} (¥3.600) - 7.449 / 2.855.406 (+3%)
07./09. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} (¥5.980) - 7.330 / 4.906.589 (-9%)
08./00. [NSW] Card Fight!! Vanguard: Dear Days (Bushiroad) {2022.11.17} (¥6.980) - 6.649 / NEW
09./00. [NSW] SympathyKiss # (Idea Factory) {2022.11.17} (¥6.500) - 6.072 / NEW
10./04. [NSW] Sonic Frontiers (Sega) {2022.11.08} (¥5.990) - 5.837 / 31.904 (-78%)

Top 10

NSW - 8
PS4 - 1
PS5 - 1

4m in two days, only the next mainline Pokemon or AC is beating that. 

Barring either a sudden collapse of supply or a major tracking error on our current numbers, it looks like Switch's 2022 is well on track to finish ahead of 2019.

I wonder when the first 5 million launch will happen or if it'll ever happen. With the declining population 4 million flat might very well be close to the upper limit of what's feasible there.

Do you mean worldwide numbers? 2019 is around 19.3 million isn't it? That would be a decent number to beat and 2022 should beat it by 1 million or a little more.

In Japan, I meant. So 4.49m.

Just 500k to go with 5 weeks left, so it has to average 100k or more for every remaining week, something that it has managed to do in every previous year.

PS5 has already surpassed holiday sales for 2021 with 5 weeks to spare. I still don't think there is enough stock though.