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Forums - Sales - How much do you think the Steam Deck will sell lifetime? (Bet inside)

         

How many Steam Decks will sell lifetime?

< 25M 28 $12,085.80 77.78%
 
25M-50M 6 $1,310.01 16.67%
 
50M-75M 0 $0.00 0%
 
75M-100M 0 $0.00 0%
 
100M-125M 0 $0.00 0%
 
125M-150M 0 $0.00 0%
 
150M-175M 0 $0.00 0%
 
175M-200M 0 $0.00 0%
 
> 200M 2 $401.00 5.56%
 
 
Totals: 36 $13,796.81  
Game closed: 03/31/2023

Voted for 200 million plus!

Question is, will Valve ever release numbers ?



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I wish I had the same confidence level in myself as those 4 people do regarding the Steam Deck selling more than 25 million units.



To the privileged, equality feels like oppression. 

As much as I love my Steam Deck (and soon my second Steam Deck)... of course less than 25 million units. I would be surprised if it even passes Vita or Wii U numbers.

But the Steam Deck doesn't need such high sales to get good software support. It already has thousands of good compatible games and most indie games and AA games of the next years will run on it without problems... cause it is a PC.



Captain_Yuri said:

The problem with this is that Steam Deck isn't a traditional handheld... It's a PC. And because of that and it's been confirmed by Valve that Steam Deck will have a successor sooner than later like every other PC hardware. The Steam Deck isn't something that will have the same hardware for 5-7 years but rather a product that will get iterations relatively frequently compared to consoles. So most likely, at the latest, we will have a Steam Deck 2 in 2024 imo because there's new PC hardware revision every 2-3 years. That is not to say it won't be supported for long though because remember... It's a PC and in terms of software/games support, PCs have a long lifespan.

Yeah, I expect the Steam Deck 2 at the latest when RDNA4-APUs become available, probable even much sooner with RDNA3.



Not a lot honestly. And I think future iterations will sell less and less.



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How will you define "lifetime"?

A better poll might be " How many handheld units will Valve sell by the end of the decade?" 



Also, this bet's not going to be able to pay out for several years.



As long as the Steam Deck 2 isn't considered part of the Steam Deck sales, I'm guessing under 25M. With the information I've seen, Steam Deck hasn't sold 1M units yet, but it's hard to tell due to Valve not releasing shipments explicitly. However, Gabe didn't suggest it would sell tens of millions of units as an expectation. I would personally be surprised if the console sold much more than the PS Vita.



Hard to say, since I dunno if they next iteration is just gonna be an upgrade or is going to be considered Steam Deck 2 or something. I'm assuming it'll just get cyclical upgraded models every 2-3 years and we consider all of that to be the original Steam Deck since it is not like PC games have generations. Though they may market new versions as successors.

Anyway, assuming we say Steam Deck will be on the market for several years I'll say 10-20 million. Basically Wii U / PS Vita range.

It's a cool idea but the implementation was an awkwardly large not really portable system marketed as a portable system. They saw what Nintendo did with Switch and decided to make a bad clunky version of that. It's a niche device. Maybe that improves in later models, but for now I only see it appealing to in the long run 5-10 million PC gamers and a maybe few million console gamers who wouldn't mind playing some PC games on a console-like system (in as far as we can refer to portable systems as consoles ever since the Switch came out).



Somehow I doubt it’s remotely close to 1.5 million.
If they would have listed 150,000, it would have at least been in the realm of believability.



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.