Bite my shiny metal cockpit!

Why I like the middle ground of 10-12GB instead.

Hmm interesting. When I was doing some digging I thought that it was confirmed, but it does seem like it is an assumption and the source of the assumption isn't quite known. Still, I don't think that number is really that crazy, though I do agree it would be the upper limit. I don't think we would essentially be getting an off shelf T234. Too much power draw even if you were to cut the frequency. 

I'm not sure about the lower clock frequencies. Yes, it's definitely true that it will have more power per watt, but that doesn't necessarily mean the power necessary for the chip to function at these frequencies wont be high. Lastly, I would assume that the Orin chip will be bulkier than the X1, which may necessitate a smaller battery for a conservative form factor. 

Honestly, you're right though. There are just so many variables, so even though the leak tells us it's Orin, it's not really narrowing down what the Switch 2 will be capable of my as much as everyone would hope. 

I really feel it's this https://developer.nvidia.com/embedded/jetson-orin Jetson NX

So far as far as rumours go and thanks to the Nvidia leaks, the most legit rumours that we have are from Kopite who has successfully leaked many Nvidia GPUs in the past such as Ampere's lineup a year prior to release.

Based on my findings, here is what we know and obviously take it with heaps of salt.

So what that means is that the Switch 2's SoC should be called T239 based on GA10F which is Ampere using Samsung's 8nm. It could have 1024 Cuda cores. Theoretically this would make sense assuming the Switch 2 launches in 2024sh because the original Switch was based on Maxwell that launched during Nvidia's Pascal era, Switch 2 would be based on Ampere and launch during Nvidia's Lovelace era. T239 is a customized version of T234:

Assuming that it's all true, we still don't know what further customization Nintendo will require for it such as will it have Tensor cores? RT cores? Clock Speed? CPU? etc. It's highly unlikely it will have 12 core CPU so similar to his thoughts of halving the cuda cores, halving the CPUs would make sense.

It should be on par or beat the Steam Decks performance so at the very least, it will be around the power level of a PS4 but at 720p. With DLSS and maybe Ray Tracing (Since Steam Deck has RT support), it could exceed it but they would want to keep the cost down.

I think $300 is doable but $400 would be worst case.

I really feel it's this https://developer.nvidia.com/embedded/jetson-orin Jetson NX

If they have separate slower ram for os and leave the fullspeed 8gb for games would be good. 

I just hope it's twice as powerful as the Switch at minimum.

Power? Can you be more specific?

If FLOPS:

Switch docked is 500, portable 393 Gflops.

Wii U was 176, or 2.23 - 2.84 times weaker than Switch.

Wii was 12 flops, or 14.6 times weaker than Wii U.

So yeah, I think it is safe to say it will be at least twice as powerful, unless you are measuring power by something else?

https://thegamingsetup.com/guides/console-power-comparison-chart

Not only is flops irrelevant. But your Gflop count isn't even accurate.

Switch is: 384Mhz to 768Mhz.
So simple math says... 384*2*256 = 196Gflop for portable.
But with the increased clock of 460Mhz it would bring it up to 235.5Gflop for portable.

This is all single precision by the way.

Docked would be 768Mhz for 393Gflop.

It's as simple as taking the number of shader cores... 256 in this instance, multiplying it by 2 instructions per clock, multiplying it by clockrate.

Basically, twice as much RAM and graphical power. Would make third party ports and native 60 fps gameplay easier, unless I'm wrong. I'm not that tech savvy.