Nintendo will likely be at, or real close to 125 million shipped at the end of 2022

Curious how you are getting that number for lifetime?

I love how Switch selling 94k in a week means saturation and the end lolol

This is this week's hot take.

For a system fast approaching its fifth birthday, Switch is doing great, it's just passed its peak which is completely normal for even a successful system its age.

I continue to wonder where on Earth these 3DS units are coming from when it was discontinued 16 months ago.

Switch is just the most interesting thing to talk about.

It is hard to say anything about systems dead or out of stock or both.

Reggie hoarded 100,000 units in his basement before retiring, and has been slowly shipping them back to Japan to sell officially "from" Nintendo (so they can save face)?

lol.... I think you missed typed, let me help

145 million +

uhhh wut?! lol

Might wanna check your math on that buddy. It should be damnnnnnn near 125 million by end of this year. It'll hit 125 million either in December of this year or January 2023, absolute worst case scenario it would take until Feb 2023 but taking until Feb is very unlikely. And that's with plenty of time left for the Switch to sell many millions more afterward.

140 million is guaranteed at this point. The questions at this point are if it will hit 150 million and if it can catch DS and PS2.

Top 30: https://nintendoeverything.com/famitsu-software-sales-1-10-22-1-16-22-top-30/

1. [NSW] Mario Party Superstars – 22,108 / 793,683
2. [NSW] Pokemon Brilliant Diamond / Shining Pearl – 19,129 / 2,454,455
3. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate – 18,505 / 4,713,464
4. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe – 17,684 / 4,373,799
5. [NSW] Minecraft – 12,986 / 2,475,523
6. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons – 11,948 / 7,149,014
7. [NSW] Big Brain Academy: Brain vs. Brain – 10,895 / 223,428
8. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure – 10,064 / 3,044,438
9. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu: Showa, Heisei, Reiwa mo Teiban! – 9,864 / 2,570,479
10. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics – 6,845 / 906,012
11. [NSW] Zelda: Breath of the Wild – 5,594 / 1,934,551
12. [NSW] Dying Light – 5,499 / NEW
13. [NSW] Pokemon Sword/Shield – 5,478 / 4,293,107
14. [NSW] Super Mario 3D World + Bowser’s Fury – 5,283 / 1,001,389
15. [NSW] Splatoon 2 – 3,937 / 4,015,131
16. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe – 3,323 / 1,146,298
17. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum ‘n’ Fun! – 2,986 / 687,349
18. [NSW] Fitness Boxing 2 – 2,930 / 176,853
19. [NSW] Human: Fall Flat – 2,751 / 228,039
20. [NSW] Dragon Quest XI S (New Price Version) – 2,631 / 177,588
21. [NSW] Zelda: Breath of the Wild + Expansion Pass – 2,630 / 57,424
22. [NSW] Splatoon 2 + Octo Expansion – 2,619 / 61,770
23. [NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 – 2,577 / 1,189,657
24. [NSW] Super Mario Party – 2,468 / 2,053,365
25. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey – 2,440 / 2,316,019
26. [NSW] Disney Magical World 2: Enchanted Edition – 2,385 / 52,207
27. [NSW] The Battle Cats Unite! – 2,162 / 115,366
28. [NSW] Monster Hunter Rise Best Price – 2,014 / 14,217
29. [NSW] Fortnite Minty Legends Pack – 1,972 / 64,526
30. [NSW] Astroneer – 1,892 / NEW

Yet another 30/30 sweep for Switch.

The fact that some people are still talking about a Switch cliff, in a Famitsu thread, is actually pretty hilarious at this point.  Folks, the Switch cliff is never coming. That is doubly true in Japan.  Expect gradual YoY hardware drops every year until they stop production.  What other system are actual gamers going to buy going forward?  There are several weeks where 30/30 games on the Famitsu charts are on the Switch.  Not only does Switch get the best selling first party games.  It also gets the best selling third party games. If a gamer wants to play anything in Japan, then they are going to need to buy a Switch. 

Seriously, what other system are actual gamers going to buy?  When Playstation does have charting software, it is usually PS4.  Let's see how Switch and PS4 hardware sold this week:

NSW 94,523
PS4  17

Nope, I don't think people will be buying PS4's in the coming years.  What about the PS5 though?  Well, software sales on PS5 are more pathetic than for any Sony or Nintendo system, ever.  When a Japanese gamer actually wants to play a game, it's going to be on Switch.  That is true this year, and it's going to be true every year until Switch 2 releases.  Here, let me really spell it out for you:

M-O-N-O-P-O-L-Y

There's only one real choice for a video game system in Japan.  That's why it's silly to think that Switch is going to fall off a cliff.  What else are they going to buy?