By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - Sell-through expectations for the Xbox Series X|S in 2022?

 

Sell-through expectations for the Xbox Series X|S in 2022?

Less than 7 million 66 9.76%
 
7.0 - 7.9 million 23 3.40%
 
8.0 - 8.9 million 31 4.59%
 
9.0 - 9.9 million 54 7.99%
 
10.0 - 10.9 million 145 21.45%
 
11.0 - 11.9 million 83 12.28%
 
12.0 - 12.9 million 92 13.61%
 
13.0 - 13.9 million 44 6.51%
 
14.0 - 15.0 million 38 5.62%
 
More than 15 million 100 14.79%
 
Total:676

How much do you expect the Xbox Series X|S to sell this year?

For reference, here are the XSX|S's previous calendar years, according to VGC estimates:

2020: 3.036m
2021: 8.635m

...

Bonus question: Which officially announced Xbox Series X|S game are you looking forward to the most?

...

Bonus info: Last year's thread and poll results for the same question:

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=244172

Sell-through expectations for the Xbox Series X|S in 2021?

Less than 5 million 120 14.83%
 
5.0 - 5.9 million 63 7.79%
 
6.0 - 6.9 million 67 8.28%
 
7.0 - 7.9 million 99 12.24%
 
8.0 - 8.9 million 125 15.45%
 
9.0 - 9.9 million 74 9.15%
 
10.0 - 11.9 million 163 20.15%
 
12.0 - 13.9 million 38 4.70%
 
14.0 - 16.0 million 22 2.72%
 
More than 16 million 38 4.70%
 
Total: 809

Looks like for 2021 the XSX|S did slightly worse than expected by this website's visitors, although semiconductor shortages did their part. It's interesting how the votes were distributed: The 9.0 - 9.9 million option was rather unpopular despite sitting right inbetween the two most popular choices.

This concludes the start of the year poll series. Curiously, VGC didn't live up to its reputation of being Nintendo-favorable. For the year 2021 Switch was the only console that got underestimated by the consensus while its competitors were either overestimated or spot on, depending on your willingness to acknowledge chip shortages.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

Around the Network

Starfield



...to avoid getting banned for inactivity, I may have to resort to comments that are of a lower overall quality and or beneath my moral standards.

I said 10 million but don’t feel great about it. If the chip shortage resolves sooner than expected it could be higher, if it continues longer than expected it could be lower. Back half of the year looks compelling for software



I'm gonna put it smack dab at about 5 millions



Likely over 10mil. Not sure.



Around the Network

I'm gonna echo my prediction for 2021 (which didn't pan out then, but this time for sure!) and say 10 mil



Major Switch Titles Launch Aligned

2022 predictions:

  • Switch - 24m
  • PS5 - 15.5m
  • Xbox Series - 10m

TheMiffedFeline said:

I'm gonna put it smack dab at about 5 millions

I respect that



Major Switch Titles Launch Aligned

2022 predictions:

  • Switch - 24m
  • PS5 - 15.5m
  • Xbox Series - 10m

Right about 11 million. Might be able to pull it off despite continued chip shortages.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 144 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million)

PS5: 105 million Xbox Series S/X: 60 million

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

Voted for 10-10.9 million. Although maybe it will struggle to get to that amount without any big releases until the end of the year in Starfield.



UnderwaterFunktown said:
TheMiffedFeline said:

I'm gonna put it smack dab at about 5 millions

I respect that

Me too