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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu sales: Week 45, 2021 - (1st Nov - 7th Nov)

The_Liquid_Laser on 12 November 2021
noshten said:

Famitsu Top 50 2021(Unofficial Ranking)

  1. [NSW] Monster Hunter Rise (Capcom) - 2.326.057
  2. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) – 1.173.761
  3. [NSW] Super Mario 3D World + Bowser's Fury - 915.917 
  4. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure – 805.830
  5. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe – 666.191
  6. [NSW] Minecraft (Microsoft) – 557.873
  7. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons – 547.151
  8. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate – 476.336
  9. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield + EP (Pokemon Co.) - 350.254
  10. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics - 303.852
  11. [NSW] Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous) – 281.140
  12. [NSW] New Pokemon Snap (Pokemon Co.) - 282.058 
  13. [NSW] Splatoon 2 + EP - 281.557
  14. [NSW] Super Mario Party - 277.912
  15. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Sword HD - 267.332 
  16. [NSW] Miitopia - 248.003
  17. [NSW] Mario Party Superstars - 244.655 
  18. [NSW] Game Builder Garage - 243.566
  19. [NSW] Monster Hunter Stories 2 (Capcom) - 227.554
  20. [PS4] Tales of Arise (Bandai Namco) - 213.474
  21. [NSW] Baseball Spirits 2021 (Konami) - 195.906
  22. [PS4] Resident Evil Village (Capcom) - 191.983
  23. [NSW] Crayon Shin-Chan (Neos) - 183.733
  24. [NSW] Mario Golf: Super Rush - 182.579
  25. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild + EP - 172.603
  26. [NSW] WarioWare: Get It Together! - 160.778 
  27. [PS4] NieR Replicant (Square Enix) - 158.265
  28. [PS4] Lost Judgment (Sega) - 151.039
  29. [NSW] Bravely Default II (Square Enix) – 136.091
  30. [NSW] Metroid Dread - 128.257 
  31. [NSW] Rune Factory 5 (Marvelous) - 127.968
  32. [NSW] Yu-Gi-Oh! Rush Duel (Konami) - 127.221
  33. [PS4] Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba (Aniplex) - 125.326 
  34. [NSW] Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 115.610
  35. [NSW] Fitness Boxing 2 (Imagineer) - 115.375
  36. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe - 114.445
  37. [NSW] Super Mario 3D All-Stars - 104.782
  38. [NSW] Pikmin 3 Deluxe - 103.273
  39. [NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 - 97.715
  40. [NSW] Tsukihime (Aniplex) - 89.916
  41. [NSW] Human Fall Flat (Teyon Japan) - 85.310
  42. [NSW] Super Robot Wars 30 (Bandai Namco) - 82.928
  43. [PS4] Tsukihime (Aniplex) - 80.042
  44. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey - 74.949
  45. [NSW] Little Nightmares II (Bandai Namco) - 72.796
  46. [PS5] Resident Evil Village (Capcom) - 72.761 
  47. [PS4] Samurai Warriors 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 72.727
  48. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco) - 70.964
  49. [NSW] Dragon Ball Z: Kakarot (Bandai Namco) - 69.449 
  50. [PS4] Super Robot Wars 30 (Bandai Namco) - 68.728

TOTAL: 14.222.268

TOTAL NSW: 13.087.923 (92%)

TOTAL PS4/PS5: 1.134.345 (8%)

Just as I anticipated the PS5 to no longer have a Top 50 game, Resident Evil Village must have had a promotion at retailers to get rid of the original shipment. There is still likely 5-10K units that haven't been sold, but without an additional shipment or best price edition it's unlikely for Village to become the first 100K physical seller on the PS5. 

Elsewhere Mario Party Superstars is likely to be one of the major titles this holiday, with a strong start like this it's heading for 1 million by the end of the year. Call of Duty franchise experienced a huge drop and won't make the Top 50 this year. 

Top 10 Publishers:

  1. Nintendo - 6.414.025 (45%)
  2. Capcom - 2.814.712 (19.8%)
  3. Konami - 1.496.888 (10.5%)
  4. Pokemon Co - 632.312 (4.4%)
  5. Bandai Namco - 578.339 (4%)
  6. Microsoft - 557.873 (3.9%)
  7. Square Enix - 409.966 (2.9%)
  8. Marvelous - 409.108 (2.9%)
  9. Aniplex - 295.284 (2.1%)
  10. Neos - 183.733 (1.3%)

If Shin Megami Tensei V manages more than 183K next week Atlus will replace Neos in the chart, I personally predicted a 200K opening for SMT V which would be the biggest launch for the franchise. With the WoM being good for the game I can see it ending the year in the Top 20 with over 350K physical sales, with digital that would make it the best selling game in the franchise of all time in Japan. Early signs are good, now it's a question of what we observe on Amazon.co.jp, COMG, GEO and Tsutaya over the weekend. 

With RE Village reappearing on the charts this week, I thought it might have moved up on your top 50.  However it is at 46 with no other PS5 titles there with it.  There only needs to be 5 more decent SKUs released this year to push it right out of the top 50, meaning PS5 will get nothing in the top 50 this year.

On top of this, Switch games have the top 19 spots (and Switch third party games have the top 2).  PS4 is exiting the software charts fast, and PS5 software is not selling well enough to finish in the top 50.  I don't see any other possibility than total Switch domination for the next several years in Japan.  And I am talking domination to the extent that this year won't seem nearly as one-sided as the years to come.



curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
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Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
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tak13 on 12 November 2021
Kakadu18 said:
tak13 said:

Is it  one week limited edition?

No, why would that be the case?

Forget it! It's a limited edition full stop...So, in your opininion all of the boost is by these units? That what was I hadn my mind, Nintendo shipping a specific amount for that week e.t.c.



curl-6 on 13 November 2021

Fatal Frame 5 sold 90k lifetime on Wii U, the re-release is at 56k after two weeks. Hopefully it can leg it out passed 100k. Not a very high bar, but it's a niche franchise.



noshten on 13 November 2021

With RE Village reappearing on the charts this week, I thought it might have moved up on your top 50.  However it is at 46 with no other PS5 titles there with it.  There only needs to be 5 more decent SKUs released this year to push it right out of the top 50, meaning PS5 will get nothing in the top 50 this year.

On top of this, Switch games have the top 19 spots (and Switch third party games have the top 2).  PS4 is exiting the software charts fast, and PS5 software is not selling well enough to finish in the top 50.  I don't see any other possibility than total Switch domination for the next several years in Japan.  And I am talking domination to the extent that this year won't seem nearly as one-sided as the years to come.

In terms of the Top 20 I think the floor will be 300K which no PS4 game will achieve physical only. Last year the floor of the Top 20 was Resident Evil 3 with 269K the only other PS4 game to make the Top 20 was Ghost of Tsushima with 427K sales

While for the Top 30 floor is looking like 200K, last year it was Nioh 2 with 167K, so at best 4 PS4 games will make the cut this year Tales of Arise & Resident Evil: Village, Nier Replicant & Lost Judgement. Last year there were 7 games that made the the Top 30. 

Top 50 floor last year was 94K, this year we are looking at at least 110K as the floor. Nine out of twenty games in the 30-50 ranking last year were PS4 games, here is where PS4 will lose the most ground this year right now I'm only seeing Demon Slayer, Tsukihime & GTA Trilogy as potentially making this bracket. 

So I expect 5-7 PS4 games to make the Top 50 compared to 18 last year. PS5 has zero chance to have a Top 50 game in Japan in 2020. Resident Evil: Village is right now on discount selling it's initial shipment, unlikely to get a second shipment for the holidays and its still very far from 110K, the other potential game is Tales of Arise which fell outside the Top 30 with 60K sales it would need to nearly double this and get a second shipment in the holidays in order to make it.  



konnichiwa on 15 November 2021

Well it is +1 atleast for xbox series X next week with Sakurai getting one...  Maybe he is also a scalper

Masahiro Sakurai
@Sora_Sakurai
発売から1年経ったいま、やっと買えた…！ コロナ禍の影響もあるかもしれないけど、ゲーム機の入手困難が続きますね。








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Kakadu18 on 15 November 2021
konnichiwa said:

Well it is +1 atleast for xbox series X next week with Sakurai getting one...  Maybe he is also a scalper

Masahiro Sakurai
@Sora_Sakurai
発売から1年経ったいま、やっと買えた…！ コロナ禍の影響もあるかもしれないけど、ゲーム機の入手困難が続きますね。



I'm more interested in the cat.



Zippy6 on 15 November 2021
Kakadu18 said:
konnichiwa said:

Well it is +1 atleast for xbox series X next week with Sakurai getting one...  Maybe he is also a scalper

Masahiro Sakurai
@Sora_Sakurai
発売から1年経ったいまã€Âã‚„っと買えた…ï¼Â コロナç¦Âã®å½±éŸ¿ã‚‚あるかもしれないけどã€Âã‚²ãƒ¼ãƒ æ©Ÿã®å…¥æ‰‹å›°é›£ãŒç¶šãã¾ã™ã­ã€‚



I'm more interested in the cat.

The cat looks disappointed in Sakurai's choices.



Console Launch Aligned Sales Charts

Famitsu Sales Database

VGChartz Monthly Sales Database