Still, hoping for switch's successor in 2023 when you have a pretty strong lineup with major titles in 2022 remains quiete unreasonable to me honestly.
In addition, we have to remind every time that Furukawa said that switch just entered its second half of existance, and they are willing to make switch have longer lifecycle than usual. This will give switch an average of 8 years lifetime. March 2025 will be appropriate because cutting switch's legs right now is the dubest thing that Nintendo can do.

I'm fine with this. If they have to release any different model, I want it to be a successor console. And I want the Switch to last as much as possible.

Furukawa has repeatedly stated that the historical 5-6 year cycle isn't smart, that's why Nintendo is looking to give Switch a longer lifecycle than previous consoles, because when the market allows it, why shouldn't Nintendo follow that. So far their actions have backed up these words, be it pricing of the console itself or game announcements which in the past used to wind down from year 5 onwards, but that isn't the case this time around.

Whenever the situation allows it (meaning good hardware momentum), Nintendo times releases to maximize profitability. So your idea that games are supposed to release as soon as they are completed fails to take into account that Nintendo isn't selling only software. Likewise, it's easy to reschedule work on games that are currently in development, so in case there would already be games in development for a Switch successor, their production timeline would get stretched out or put on hold due to higher priority for Switch games in the nearer future.

The reason why selling only 10-15m Switch units in a year would still be fine is because the userbase would still be very active and buy a ton of games. There's much more profit to be made from software than from hardware, hence why rushing out a successor doesn't make sense. Aside from that, Switch's sales momentum is too good to fall to only 10-15m in 2023.

He said that a year ago, actually slightly more than a year ago. I believe it was June 2020. That was 3 years and 2 months after Switch release, so of course that is entering its second half. Now, over a year later, we are in its last two thirds.

Why would we want to keep using Switch hardware, which is just slightly better than Wii U, which was 360/ps3 level until 2025? Why tolerate that? I love the Switch, and I loved the Wii U, but why should we just be content with a device lasting until 2025? That's a crazy long time to wait for an upgrade. 8 years on a 360/ps3 (slightly better) device is ridiculous.

Switch 2 in 2023 would be one of the dumbest things Nintendo could do. The ideal timing for a Switch successor is a launch during the fiscal year where the current Switch platform can be expected to fall below 10m units in shipments and that's not anytime soon.

Fudging the truth when making financials statements can land you in hot water

They are telling us point blank that it won't increase their profit margins, probably because those are the numbers of price versus cost.

Not sure why you would think it's disingenuous, what motivations and what numbers did you have in mind?

They may even be reducing their profit margins due to new costs of parts, manufacturing, distribution and marketing. All we know is that the profit margins won't be increasing versus the old model.

Also, it may be advantageous for them to announce an increased profit margin to investors, so I'm not sure what's disingenuous.

https://www.gamesradar.com/nintendo-denies-another-switch-revision-is-being-planned/

So, looks like both the profit of $40 per OLED console (in addition to whatever they normally profit from Switch's being sold) is bogus. Also, great news for gamers like me that want Switch 2, as it looks like OLED is their final iteration of original Switch hardware! Or at least "at this time."

I am aware that "no plans for launching any other model at this time" doesn't necessarily mean they aren't developing another iteration and that they simply may not have planned out the launch date for it. I'm hopeful they don't release a Switch Pro, that way we can get a Switch 2 as early as possible (we will need it even more than a Pro if Valve succeeds at what they are trying to do and sales start to slow down). Hoping for 2023 Switch :)