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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu sales: Week 27, 2021 - (June 28 - July 4)

noshten on 10 July 2021

Third Party Previous update

Third Party Top 30 Switch

  1. Monster Hunter Rise (Capcom) - 2.279.942 
  2. Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) - 2.251.898 
  3. Minecraft (Microsoft) - 2.032.643 
  4. Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 670.632
  5. Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco) - 597.067
  6. Fishing Spirits: Nintendo Switch Version (Bandai Namco) - 589.425
  7. Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games Tokyo 2020 (Sega) - 383.926
  8. Monster Hunter Generations Ultimate (Capcom) - 379.611
  9. Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity (Koei Tecmo) - 367.082
  10. Yo-kai Watch 4 (Level 5) - 358.356
  11. eBaseball Powerful Pro Baseball 2020 (Konami) - 297.187 
  12. Dragon Quest Builders 2 (Square Enix) - 295.237 
  13. Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous) - 281.140 
  14. Super Bomberman R3 (Konami) - 275.029 
  15. Jikkyou Powerful Pro Baseball (Konami) - 248.024
  16. Mario + Rabbids: Kingdom Battle (Ubisoft) - 213.453
  17. Octopath Traveller (Square Enix) - 193.780
  18. Disney Tsum Tsum Festival (Bandai Namco) - 185.990
  19. Dragon Ball: Xenoverse 2 (Bandai Namco) - 181.090
  20. Story of Seasons: Friends of Mineral Town (Marvelous) - 164.944
  21. Human: Fall Flat (Teyon Japan) - 155.973
  22. Puyo Puyo S (Sega) - 154.573
  23. Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin (Marvelous) - 150.434 
  24. Super Dragon Ball Heroes: World Mission (Bandai Namco) - 145.720 
  25. Fitness Boxing (Imagineer) - 141.889 
  26. One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 (Bandai Namco) - 137.513 
  27. Bravely Default II (Square Enix) - 134.858
  28. Rune Factory 5 (Marvelous) - 127.968
  29. FIFA 18 (EA) - 122.998 
  30. Derby Stallion (Game Addict) - 121.740 

TOTAL: 13.640.122

Nearly 1.2 million since the last update, it's been mostly Konami and Capcom flexing with Baseball Spirits & Monster Hunter Stories 2 this should continue until the next update. 

Top 10 Publishers:

  1. Konami - 3.072.138
  2. Capcom - 2.659.553
  3. Microsoft - 2.032.643 
  4. Bandai Namco - 1.836.805
  5. Square Enix - 1.294.507
  6. Marvelous - 724.486
  7. Sega - 538.499
  8. Koei Tecmo - 367.082 (+1)
  9. Level 5 - 358.356 (-1)
  10. Ubisoft - 213.453

Konami is the first publisher to surpass 3 million sales within the Top 30 Third Party games. 

Marvelous temporarily moved up to over 700K+ but due to the rushed nature of Rune Factory 5 release, it's likely to exit the Top 30 until the End of Year update.

By the next update it's likely that Konami will surpass 3.5 million while it's likely that Capcom will be the second publisher with over 3 million sales. 

Imagineer fell just short into entering the Top 10, with on-going sales of Fitness Boxing 2 it should be the 10th place publisher by the next update just short of 300K sales. 

Finally one year after starting the comparison between the PS4 and Switch third party Top 30, next time we get an update it's likely that Switch Top 30 will overtake PS4's lifetime total of 15.34 million. 



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chakkra on 10 July 2021
noshten said:

HARDWARE Q1-Q3 TOTAL 2020: 4.427.926

NSW Q1-Q3 TOTAL 2020: 3.954.085 (89.3%)

PS4 Q1-Q3 TOTAL 2020: 473.841 (10.7%)

HARDWARE TOTAL 2021: 3.705.738

NSW TOTAL 2021: 3.085.951 (83.3%)

PS5 TOTAL 2021: 619.787 (16.7%)

In terms of hardware Switch doesn't need that much to still be ahead of 2020, with 73K per week average being enough to stay ahead with the OLED launch to follow shortly. More likely I can see the Switch actually ending up at around 4.17 million by the end of Q3 with an average per week of around 90K, I don't personally think OLED will impact demand all that much until very late in September. 

Last year PS4 basically didn't get any stock during Q3, so its likely that we see PS5 at over 800K by the end of the Quarter, which would be pretty decent result in terms of hardware if we had the software sales to match it. But as discussed the software sales don't actually match the current user base of the PS5 and are actually lower than X360 achieved during the same time, there is also basically no games on the PS5 that are likely to surpass 100K this quarter either. While the PS4 audience is declining very quickly. 

Still in terms of hardware we would see Switch & PS5 surpass 5 million units by Q3 with OLED, Pokemon Remakes and December there to ensure 2021 is the peak year. 

Famitsu 2020 Q1-Q3 Top 30:

  1. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Nintendo) - 5.754.082
  2. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure (Nintendo) - 1.106.546
  3. [PS4] Final Fantasy VII Remake (Square) - 932.821
  4. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield (Pokemon Co) - 757.221
  5. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) - 525.216
  6. [PS4] Ghost of Tsushima (Sony) - 399.370
  7. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics (Nintendo) - 391.195
  8. [NSW] Smash Ultimate (Nintendo) - 383.816
  9. [NSW] Minecraft (Microsoft) - 366.328
  10. [NSW] Splatoon 2 (Nintendo) - 317.449
  11. [NSW] Super Mario Party (Nintendo) - 297.159 
  12. [NSW] Super Mario 3D All-Stars (Nintendo) - 273.939
  13. [NSW] Dr. Kawashima's Brain Training for Nintendo Switch (Nintendo) - 267.467
  14. [NSW] Pokemon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX (Pokemon Co.) - 259.513 
  15. [PS4] Resident Evil 3 (Capcom) - 258.676 
  16. [NSW] Paper Mario: The Origami King (Nintendo) - 256.899
  17. [PS4] Yakuza 7: Like a Dragon (Sega) - 243.769 
  18. [NSW] eBaseball Powerful Pro Baseball 2020 (Konami) - 228.076
  19. [PS4] The Last of Us Part II (Sony) - 222.943 
  20. [PS4] eBaseball Powerful Pro Baseball 2020 (Konami) - 180.243
  21. [NSW] Luigi's Mansion 3 (Nintendo) - 179.438
  22. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) - 172.831
  23. [NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 (Nintendo) - 168.345
  24. [PS4] Mobile Suit Gundam: Extreme Vs. MaxiBoost On (Bandai Namco) - 161.014 
  25. [PS4] Nioh 2 (Koei Tecmo) - 156.772
  26. [NSW] Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 156.140
  27. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe (Nintendo) - 155.834
  28. [PS4] Persona 5 Scramble: The Phantom Strikers (Atlus) - 149.898
  29. [PS4] Dragon Ball Z: Kakarot (Bandai) - 149.654 
  30. [NSW] Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games: Tokyo 2020 (Sega) - 138.550

NSW - 20

PS4 - 10

TOTAL: 15.011.204

TOTAL NSW: 12.156.044 (81%)

TOTAL PS4: 2.855.160 (19%)

Famitsu 2021 Top 30:

  1. [NSW] Monster Hunter Rise (Capcom) - 2.279.942
  2. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) – 1.018.875
  3. [NSW] Super Mario 3D World + Bowser's Fury (Nintendo) - 798.431
  4. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure (Nintendo) – 582.086
  5. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) – 441.511
  6. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Nintendo) – 435.353
  7. [NSW] Minecraft (Microsoft) – 329.216
  8. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo) – 312.968
  9. [NSW] Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous) – 281.140
  10. [NSW] New Pokemon Snap (Pokemon Co.) - 253.358
  11. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield + Expansion Pass (Pokemon Co.) - 242.855
  12. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics (Nintendo) - 219.311
  13. [NSW] Splatoon 2 (Nintendo) - 204.227
  14. [NSW] Super Mario Party (Nintendo) - 194.291
  15. [PS4] Resident Evil Village (Capcom) - 191.983
  16. [NSW] Miitopia (Nintendo) - 179.233
  17. [PS4] NieR Replicant (Square Enix) - 158.265
  18. [NSW] Game Builder Garage (Nintendo) - 143.648
  19. [NSW] Bravely Default II (Square Enix) – 136.091
  20. [NSW] Rune Factory 5 (Marvelous) - 127.968
  21. [NSW] Mario Golf: Super Rush (Nintendo) - 112.115
  22. [NSW] Super Mario 3D All-Stars (Nintendo) - 104.782
  23. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) - 104.343
  24. [NSW] Pikmin 3 Deluxe (Nintendo) - 103.273
  25. [NSW] Fitness Boxing 2 (Imagineer) - 83.547
  26. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe (Nintendo) - 80.508
  27. [NSW] Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 77.692
  28. [NSW] Little Nightmares II (Bandai Namco) - 72.796
  29. [NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 (Nintendo) - 70.860
  30. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey (Nintendo) - 69.066

NSW - 28

PS4 - 2

TOTAL: 9.409.734

NSW TOTAL: 9.059.486 (96.3%)

PS4 TOTAL: 350.248 (3.7%)

The big games Baseball Spirits, Monster Hunter Stories 2, Yu-Gi-Oh this quarter can potentially add over 1.2 million software; while we also have a few mid-range titles Skyward Sword, Shin-kun, Ace Attorney Chronicles, DBZ: Kakarot, Lost Judgement & Tales of Arise. 

Still software will continue to be down YoY in the Top 30 mainly due to New Horizon being such a juggernaut, if we remove it from last year's total 2021 software is already ahead, but those 5.7 million sales will be near impossible to overcome this Quarter. However in Q3 we do have a one multi-million selling title, and one million selling title - which should ensure that Software does end up YoY. 

From a PlayStation perspective, we might see 3 games that end up in the Top 30 at the end of the Quarter - Village, Nier Replicant & Tales of Arise; Lost Judgement launches at the very last week of the Quarter and it's launch is likely not going to allow it's PS4 SKU to chart. Also no guarantees that Tales of Arise actually makes it since it could be that the PS4 SKU only manages 100K in September and 50K on the PS5, which I don't think will be enough.

In terms of the Top 5, Monster Hunter Rise's legs aren't as strong as I thought, I think we need to see an update for Obon to reignite demand in the title in order to surpass 2.5 million physical by the end the Quarter. While Momotaro will likely end up pretty close to 1.5 million, Bowser's Fury probably close to 1 million, Ring Fit around 800K, MK8D or Yu-Gi-Oh are for me the most likely games to come into the 5th Spot, Yu-Gi-Oh's demo reception should give us a better idea of what to expect but it could definitely be a potential million seller on the Switch if WoM is good. So around 6.4 million across those game.

Within the Top 10 it doesn't seem that there would be a game below 400K, so an additional 2 million across those at minimum. Most likely games to be competing are New Horizon, Smash, Minecraft, Monster Hunter Stories 2 & Baseball Spirits 

While on average the remaining 20 games will end up around 200K, so an additional 4 million. 

So at minimum by the end of Q3 we would surpass 12 million sales, 3 million shy of last year - I'm expecting the biggest boosts at Obon for Momotaro, Ring Fit,

------

Wait, so no PS5 game has been able to sell 69K... in a 877K install base...  I guess the next-gen exclusive "system sellers" are not the ones doing the selling then. I guess there is more to sales than exclusive games after all.



curl-6 on 10 July 2021

I wonder if we'll get weeks in the future with no PS5 games in the top 30. 



noshten on 11 July 2021

I think we are heading for a few weeks in the summer where it will be a Switch Top 30.. especially July and August there is a decent chance it happens several times

There is a lack of PS4 titles in the summer - biggest games in July/August are also multiplat and they aren't exactly mega hits I'm talking World Ends with You; Ace Attorney Chronicles etc, We would also see PS5 upgrades like Ghost of Tsushima/Death Strending which aren't likely to stick around in the chart

Switch hybrid is currently finally fully available to meet demand, so if we have a high baseline in July August it means most evergreens will rise above 2K sales making it increasingly difficult for PS4/PS5 games to chart beyond their launch weeks.



Agente42 on 13 July 2021

Nintendo eShop Sales: January 1st to June 30th 2021

01./New. – Monster Hunter Rise (Capcom) [26.3.2021] {7 990 Yen}
02./00. – Among Us (Innersloth) [16.12.2020] {520 Yen}
03./00. – Momotaro Dentetsu: Showa, Heisei, Reiwa mo Teiban (Konami) [19.11.2020] {6 930 Yen}
04./New. – Super Mario 3D World + Bowser's Fury (Nintendo) [12.2.2021] {6 578 Yen}
05./00. – Human: Fall Flat (Teyon Japan) [28.12.2017] {1 530 Yen}
06./00. – Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) [28.4.2017] {6 578 Yen}
07./New. – New Pokémon Snap (The Pokémon Company) [30.4.2020]
08./00. – Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo) [07.12.2018] {7 920 Yen}
09./00. – Minecraft (Microsoft Japan) [21.6.2018] {3 960 Yen}
10./New. – Story of Seasons: Friends of Mineral Town (Marvelous) [25.2.2021] {6 578 Yen}
11./00. – Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics (Nintendo) [05.6.2020] {4 378 Yen}
12./00. – The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) [03.3.2017] {7 678 Yen}
13./00. – Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Nintendo) [20.3.2020] {6 578 Yen}
14./00. – Overcooked! 2 (Team17) [07.8.2018] {2 750 Yen}
15./00. – Splatoon 2 (Nintendo) [21.7.2021] {6 578 Yen}
16./00. – Fitness Boxing 2: Rhythm & Exercise (imagineer) [03.12.2020] {6 380 Yen}
17./00 – Super Mario Party (Nintendo) [05.10.2018] {6 578 Yen}
18./New. – Rune Factory 5 (Marvelous) [20.5.2021] {7 678 Yen}
19./00. – Dragon Quest III: The Seeds of Salvation (Square-Enix) [27.98.2019] (was on sale)
20./00. – DRAGON QUEST XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age – Definitive Edition (Square-Enix) [27.9.2019] {5 478 Yen}
21./New. – Super Nodage Party (Yoshimoto Kyogo) [29.4.2021] {1 000 Yen}
22./New. – Game Builder Garage (Nintendo) [11.6.2021] {2 980 Yen}
23./New. – Miitopia (Nintendo) [21.5.2021] {5 478 Yen}
24./00. – Futari de! Nyanko Dai Sensou (ponos) [20.12.2018] {999 Yen}
25./New. – Bravely Default II (Square-Enix) [26.2.2021] {7 480 Yen}
26./00. – Pokémon Sword (The Pokémon Company) [15.11.2020] {6 578 Yen}
27./00. – Xenoblade Chronicles 2 (Nintendo) [01.12.2017] {8 778 Yen}
28./00. – Overcooked!: Special Edition (Team17) [12.10.2017] {2 150 Yen}
29./New. – SaGa Frontier Remastered (Square-Enix) [15.4.2021] {4 800 Yen}
30./New. – Little Nightmares 2 (Bandai-Namco) [10.2.2021] {3 960 Yen}

Super Nodage Party - 70 -90k (estimate)

Last edited by Agente42 - on 13 July 2021